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Lisa Madigan says guv can’t sell student loan portfolio

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

Attorney General Madigan really needs to break her habit of releasing controversial opinions on Friday afternoons.

Anyway, Governor Blagojevich was hoping to sell the state’s student loan portfolio to generate millions for the MAP scholarship program. Madigan said today that the Illinois Student Assistance Commission has no authority to sell the portfolio without express premission from the General Assembly, effectively halting the sale. She also decreed that unless the legislature changes the law, the money from an asset sale must be placed in the student loan operating fund.

This isn’t the first time that Madigan has halted the governor’s planned sale of a state asset. She stopped the governor from selling the Thompson Center in the early days of his administration.

I haven’t seen any news articles yet, but you can read her entire opinion here. [pdf file]

- posted by Rich Miller 24 Comments


Roskam, Bean both leading

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

New numbers.

The best news for Duckworth is the number of undecided voters. Bean has pretty much fallen off the national radar, but 50 percent is not enough.

The candidates for the west suburban congressional seat being vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Henry Hyde are locked in a tight contest while first-term Rep. Melissa Bean holds a sizable advantage over her main rival in the northwest suburbs, a new Tribune/WGN-TV poll shows. […]

In the 6th District, which has been viewed as reliably Republican under Hyde’s lengthy tenure, Roskam had the support of 43 percent of the voters compared to 39 percent for Duckworth, an Iraq war veteran, with 17 percent undecided. […]

In the 8th Congressional District, where Bean two years ago defeated longtime Republican Rep. Phil Crane, the poll showed the Democrat has the support of 50 percent of the voters, compared to 31 percent for McSweeney and 4 percent for third-party candidate Bill Scheurer of Lindenhurst. Another 14 percent were undecided.

As usual, the high and mighty Chicago Tribune won’t share its crosstabs with the little people.

- posted by Rich Miller 12 Comments


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Friday, Oct 20, 2006

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“The Rumor” *** Updated x3 ***

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

[Updated, bumped to the top and comments opened.]

[This story was originally published Thursday.]

I heard “The Rumor” early yesterday. The calls and e-mails started slow but quickly picked up throughout the day.

“The Rumor” had it that a certain Illinois Republican congressman was about to be busted for having sexual relations with an underage female page.

I contacted a friend of mine in DC who’s pretty high up the US House food chain (Republican side) and asked what he knew about the congressman and a page.

My friend said that all he had heard was that a page whom the congressman had previously sponsored may have had a problem or an issue with Rep. Kolbe, who is under fire for taking a camping trip with some pages.

Since then, “The Rumor” has exploded far and wide among political blogs, many of them Democratic-leaning publications that would love to defeat the 6-term GOP incumbent.

Around noon today, I called the congressman’s campaign office because I was tired of waiting and, frankly, didn’t want to spend the rest of the day monitoring Google News for updates.

His spokesman told me that he had received a call from the Chicago Tribune on Sunday asking about The Rumor. The New York Times called sometime later. According to the spokesman, the NY Times reporter admitted that he had had no luck proving the claims and came to the conclusion that it was false.

The press calls intensified in the last 24 hours and the spokesman claimed none of the reporters had any solid evidence. They just claimed they had some congressional sources who claimed it was true, the spokesman said.

I asked the spokesman if he had talked to Congressman Weller (I decided to go ahead and mention his name here to avoid tarring any other members of the delegation) about this and he said he had.

Weller, he said, flatly denied any such thing had ever happened, couldn’t understand why the rumors were flying around and insisted that nothing would ever come of it.

The spokesman called back a half hour later or so and said the office now believes that the rumor began when reports surfaced that “one of our pages or interns was hit on by another congressman,” and then morphed from there.

So, the rumors that Weller is holed up somewhere and is “about to resign any minute” don’t appear to be true. The rumors that he is being pressed to resign by House GOP leadership also don’t appear to be true. The page rumor itself seems unsubstantiated at best and malicious at worst. There was even a rumor posted on some blogs that Weller had pulled his campaign website offline this week. Not true.

Now, I can’t guarantee you one way or another if The Rumor is true or not, of course, but I do have more than just serious doubts about it. What I am sure of is that some high-up Democrats have been pushing the heck out of this story and they ought to stop it or produce some real evidence. It may have begun as a well-meaning leak, but it certainly isn’t that now.

Weller’s spokesman, Steve Shearer, described the rumor as a “political nuclear bomb” that opponents could throw and then “retreat into anonymity” without providing any real evidence.

The Democrats, Shearer said, may be hoping to use The Rumor to “put a race into play for no money at all.” He could very well be right.

No reader comments on this one. If something else happens, I’ll open up a thread. And if Weller is lying, we’ll all go nuclear on him together. I just don’t think that’s the case.

Also, if your immediate reaction is that I’m shilling for Weller, I’d suggest you read this, this and this before making up your mind. I’m not exactly a huge Weller fan.

*** UPDATE *** The story has now crossed over to the mainstream media with this buried mention in Friday’s Sun-Times:

Rep. Jerry Weller (R-Ill.), hit with rumors that he was somehow involved in the page scandal, issued a statement Thursday saying he was not a factor — but a former page or intern he sponsored was subject to some questionable behavior by another lawmaker.

With rumors racing across a number of left-wing blogs naming Weller, his campaign manager Steve Shearer said there were no facts to back up any story.

This has “nothing to do with Jerry Weller doing anything,” Shearer said.

With the blogosphere pushing unsubstantiated rumor, Shearer said “it is a new way of political assassination.”

Shearer released the statement after the blog entries were multiplying and he was flooded with calls from reporters.

*** UPDATE 2 *** The ArchPundit, who helped break the story on the Web, has now walked it all the way back.

What Do Blagojevich, Davlin, and Weller Have In Common

They were all screwed by rumors that were amazingly widespread and false.

First, I’m sorry–my judgment held up in the first two, but this time it didn’t.

Larry is a good guy and he did the right thing. Carl Nyberg, who comments quite often here and has his own blog, got a lot of exposure with his Weller diary at Daily Kos (over 300 comments at last count). So far, he has yet to issue a retraction or an apology or even an update.

I wouldn’t count on “Wonkette,” who probably did more to push this story than anyone else - even though there was not a shred of real evidence - to follow ArchPundit’s suit.

Meanwhile, the Kankakee Daily Journal also got into the act today.

Rep. Jerry Weller, R-Morris, through his election attorney, moved Thursday to inform the House that a former page or intern may have been the subject of inappropriate attention from another lawmaker, Weller’s campaign manager said Thursday.

Steven Shearer said the congressman was not prepared to reveal the identity of the youth, the timing, nor the identity of the lawmaker, but felt confident that a former page or intern was “inappropriately invited to a social function by another congressman.” […]

Shearer said Weller’s name came up before the page inquiry within the last week, but as far as the congressman knows, solely in the context that he was the sponsor of the page or intern in question.

He said neither the congressman nor his office ever knew of the invitation.

This is exactly what I figured had happened not long after I heard the rumor and talked to my DC guy (see above).

Rumors have a tendency to morph. “Page. Weller. Ethics Committee. Testimony,” becomes, “Hey, didja hear that Weller was doing a page?” As Larry noted in his retraction, we saw the same exact thing happen with those idiotic but universal Blagojevich rumors and the Springfield cocaine rumors.

People hear rumors from vastly different and usually reliable sources and assume it must be true. Every reporter in town is chasing the rumor so we figure there’s something there. And everybody is repeating the same name over and over again (or names, in the case of the coke goofiness), so my goodness it’s gotta be right. Plus, people who despise the target of the rumors want to believe it’s true and gin it up even further.

It’s another lesson for all of us.

Comments are now open on this topic. But use some common sense or I’ll close the comments right away and permanently ban you.

*** UPDATE 3 *** Nyberg has now published a retraction.

- posted by Rich Miller 45 Comments


Late morning shorts

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

* SurveyUSA’s latest monthly tracker has Gov. Blagojevich’s job approval rating at 38, with his disapproval at 59. Those are the worst job approval numbers of all Democratic governors in America and the fifth worst for all governors in the USA. Yet, he’s still leading in the polls. Go figure.

* The Tribune has cranked up their bloggy type thingy “Trail Mix” again. And the Daily Herald’s bloggy type thingy “Animal Farm” has gotten a wee bit bloggier lately with the addition of permalinks, but still no comments and no blogroll. I should point out, though, that they did link to me this week. Thanks, boys.

* Sun-Times: Outsider vs. insider in 6th Dist. - But tall odds don’t faze Duckworth

* Hey, Wumpus and Animous. You’re famous. Kinda. If you consider being buried at the bottom of a Tribune bullet-point piece without an actual hyperlink to your comments or this blog even though the story is on the Internet famous. Also, I didn’t even know the item existed until I ran into a subscriber at the local Chinese restaurant last night. So, OK, not really famous. But props to you both anyway.

* Neil Steinberg says the Cook County Forest Preserves are going to hell: “To be blunt, the preserves are returning to nature — the paths overgrown, choked with buckthorn, that invasive species of trash tree that pushes out native vegetation and looks like hell. There’s uncollected garbage and a general sense of neglect and decay. And that’s in a hoity-toity suburb — I’m sure it’s worse elsewhere.”

* Sun-Times: Black aldermen repeat fury over 9% of contracts - Portion of city construction deals even lower

- posted by Rich Miller 21 Comments


Question of the day

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

St. Louis is not in Illinois, of course, but there are a ton of Cardinals fans here and more than a few who visit this blog.

So… World Series predictions, please.

- posted by Rich Miller 47 Comments


The other guys

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

* Quinn and Birkett are profiled.

Yet for all of his history of seeking publicity for government reforms, Quinn has been quiet about the myriad investigations swirling around Blagojevich’s administration.

“I think the governor speaks for himself,” said Quinn, a lawyer. “If I see anyone in state government that’s doing something illegal, I’m duty-bound to report that to the proper authority, and I would do that without blinking an eye.”

Birkett, 51, a three-term DuPage County state’s attorney and running mate of Republican Judy Baar Topinka, has taken note of Quinn’s silence.

“I like a lot of the things Pat has said in the past and what he stood for, but I think he’s been largely silenced by this governor,” he said. “I certainly understand why.”

* And the Green Party gets a piece.

As the “other guy” in the race for governor, Green Party candidate Rich Whitney said he is often asked what makes him qualified to hold the state’s highest office.

“It’s true,” he said with a smile. “I have absolutely no experience screwing up the government.”

- posted by Rich Miller 16 Comments


Rezko updates

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

* Sun-Times:

A federal judge did add a new accessory to the natty, gray pinstriped suit Rezko wore on Thursday — an electronic ankle bracelet.

Rezko was put under house arrest, at least until he provides a detailed financial affidavit in two weeks. Prosecutors made it clear they wanted more financial information, noting Rezko transferred $400,000 last year to a Lebanon bank.

Prosecutors asked for a hefty bond, saying Rezko would have an incentive to flee once he realizes the strength of the case against him.

In the one case alone, he’s facing 14 years. The feds have Rezko on tape and others on tape talking about him, in secretly made recording

* Tribune:

Levine is cooperating with the government, and Niewoehner said there are recordings of Rezko discussing his activities.

“Mr. Rezko has no idea what is in store for him,” Niewoehner said.

[Emphasis added.]

* Copley: Rezko “has a negative cash flow” and may have less than $5,000 in the bank, Duffy said.

* Daily Herald:

“In the last week, there has been what I’ll call an unnecessary media frenzy about Mr. Rezko and his whereabouts and his intentions. Many members of the media have been quoting sources saying Mr. Rezko would never come back,” Duffy said. “I hope, today, by Mr. Rezko’s voluntary return to the United States, will put to rest all this wild speculation.

“He is confident that he will be vindicated at trial,” Duffy said. “Please, please honor the presumption of innocence.”

- posted by Rich Miller 32 Comments


Sun-Times endorses Blagojevich *** Updated x1 ***

Friday, Oct 20, 2006

This was not unexpected. They endorsed him in the primary four years ago. While it’s not exactly a ringing endorsement, it does provide a boost.

Endorsing a candidate with more than 2½ weeks left in the campaign is a little like calling a horse race in the last lap — anything could happen before the finish line. Each day can bring a revelation affecting a campaign. But in the final analysis, you have to go with a candidate based on where he stands on the issues important to you. For that reason, the Sun-Times endorses Gov. Rod Blagojevich for re-election because of his record of expanding health care and educational opportunity.

There’s no denying the cloud of scandal over his administration. One of his chief fund-raisers, Antoin “Tony” Rezko, was indicted last week for alleged shakedowns for campaign contributions. More revelations likely will come right before the election when power broker Stuart Levine is expected to plead guilty. The governor said the charges against Rezko, if true, represent a personal betrayal by Rezko, and that he himself has never been involved in any unethical or illegal fund-raising. Our experience with Blagojevich prompts us to take him at his word. We’ve chosen to give him the benefit of the doubt and endorse him for a number of reasons.

Thoughts?

*** UPDATE *** The AP has a story up: Chicago Sun-Times endorses Blagojevich

- posted by Rich Miller 101 Comments


Late afternoon radio blogging

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

* I’ve been so busy today that I didn’t even notice that Chicago Public Radio’s 848 program hosted a debate today between Tammy Duckworth and Peter Roskam. You can listen by hitting the “play” button or download it here. The Daily Herald’s story is here.

* From IIS: More than 500 religious groups around the state will help sign families up for All Kids

* Also from IIS: State jobless rate hits lowest level in six years

- posted by Rich Miller 10 Comments


Will he show? *** Updated x 5 ***

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

[Updated and bumped to the top.]

The press reports that Tony Rezko is expected to show up today for his arraignment. Sun-Times:

A close adviser and top fund-raiser for Gov. Blagojevich is scheduled to show up at the first of two court hearings today on fraud and corruption charges.

But whether he will remains to be seen.

A court official said Wednesday that lawyers have told U.S. District Judge James Zagel that Antoin “Tony” Rezko will be back in the country and will appear in court today.

Sneed has some more clues.

Sneed hears Rezko, who was months behind on his mortgage payments, made good on those overdue payments last week. “It’s an indication he planned on returning to this country and never expected to stay away,” said a source close to Rezko.

The arraignment is scheduled for 10:30. Check the blog for updates as we get ‘em.

*** UPDATE *** The hearing has been postponed until 3 o’clock and Rezko will supposedly be there.

*** UPDATE 2 *** He’s back and in federal custody. AP:

A fundraiser and political confidant for Gov. Rod Blagojevich was taken into custody without incident Thursday on charges of fraud and extortion, federal officials said.

FBI agents picked up Antoin “Tony” Rezko, 51, at O’Hare International Airport without incident, Randall Samborn, a spokesman for the U.S. attorney’s office told reporters.

*** UPDATE 3 *** From a reporter inside:

$1.5 million bond on the pizza case. The [other] arraignment is at 5 o’clock.

Apparently, Rezko hasn’t said anything to reporters yet.

*** UPDATE 4 *** Another dispatch from within the room from our same friend:

Friends and relatives (three rows worth) say they have 2 million to put up in property for bond.

*** UPDATE 5 *** The Tribune catches up:

An indicted fundraiser and political confidant for Gov. Rod Blagojevich entered a not-guilty plea today in federal court in Chicago.

Antoin “Tony” Rezko’s plea this afternoon related to charges he swindled investors in two pizza restaurants. Later today, he’s expected to enter a plea in another case.

In the pizza restaurants case, the federal judge set Rezko’s bond at $1.5 million; members of his family have pledged to put up their homes to cover it.

- posted by Rich Miller 78 Comments


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Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

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Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

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Question of the day

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

Stroger-Peraica. Final result. Explain.

Bonus question: Hey, Cardinal fans, what happened to your guys last night?

- posted by Rich Miller 98 Comments


Reform and Renewal, part 8,643

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

The governor can’t really give this money back because it would set a precedent for Rezko’s millions.

Gov. Rod Blagojevich said Wednesday that he would not return campaign contributions raised by an Arab-American organization even though an internal investigation determined the state employee who heads the group organized a Blagojevich fundraiser on state time. […]

“Because one individual’s wrongful action, that individual needs to be held responsible for his or her wrongful actions,” the governor said, declining to answer any more questions on the matter.

Later, Blagojevich spokesman Doug Scofield said the organization, the Arab American Democratic Club, is made up of “long-standing contributors” and “they give without regard to any specific individual and shouldn’t be penalized for the inappropriate actions of one person.”

The group has given Blagojevich $10,500 since 2002. The campaign said it would detail how much money it received from the Sept. 12 fundraiser next week as part of state election law requirements.

Like I said, if Blagojevich returned these tainted contributions the media and Topinka would demand that he return all the money raised by the indicted Tony Rezko.

This situation [more info here] is a microcosm of much of what is wrong with the Blagojevich administration. Allegations of illegal fundraising, mixing campaign money and government, getting around veterans preference rules in the hiring of the guy in the first place. If he had gotten a state contract or put somebody on a state board it would just about complete the circle.

Meanwhile, Esquire Magazine is endorsing candidates this year, but they don’t seem to know what they’re doing. From Bernie Schoenburg’s column:

Perhaps indicating Esquire’s level of knowledge of Illinois politics, the magazine lists the Republican candidate as Jody Baar Topinka. […]

Anyway, here’s the explanation of Esquire’s endorsement of Blagojevich in the November issue:

“Blagojevich was elected in 2002 on a platform of breaking Illinois’ - and especially Chicago’s - political-patronage machine. He’s done well in that regard, and in his defense of women’s and the elderly’s health-care rights.”

Looks as if the governor’s news releases might just be getting through to New York.

Morons.

- posted by Rich Miller 49 Comments


Bean picks up Trib nod

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

Congresswoman Bean got a big boost today with the Tribune endorsement.

In 2004 the Tribune endorsed Melissa Bean over the longest-serving Republican in the U.S. House, with the expectation that she would be a pro-growth, pro-trade congresswoman. She has delivered.

Have you noticed how many times the Trib has refused to endorse either candidate this time around? Newspapers, particularly the Trib, regard “no endorsement” as shirking their duties. But today the Trib decided not to endorse anyone in the Weller-Pavich race and the Hare-Zinga contest. They’ve done the same thing in several other congressional and Cook County board races.

Anyway, back to Bean. The Sun-Times profiled the race today.

While we’re talking congressional stuff, a National Review writer took a look at the last three polls in the 10th Congressional District.

A Mellman Group (D) poll a week ago, in Illinois 10: Republican Mark Kirk 49, Democrat Dan Seals 32. Rout city!

An RT Strategies/Constituent Dynamics Poll out today in Illinois 10: Kirk 46, Seals 44! It’s neck and neck!

The conclusion:

Hey, how often does a candidate do 8 points worse in a partisan poll conducted by their own side than in the nonpartisan one? Weird.

Good point. If the Constituent Dynamics poll is anywhere near accurate, however, it could reflect two things: 1) Races with two good candidates tend to tighten up in the closing weeks; 2) The national GOP trend is way bad.

- posted by Rich Miller 12 Comments


Wal-Mart to expand drug program to Illinois

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

This should shake up the Wal-Mart debate a bit.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. is expected to announce today it is expanding a program offering $4 prescriptions for some generic drugs to 14 more states, including Illinois, two weeks after rolling out the low-cost program in Florida. […]

Wal-Mart launched the program in what it called an effort to save working Americans money on health care. Critics said it was a stunt to draw in business and a grab for a bigger share of the drug business.

The Florida plan covers a month’s supply of 314 prescriptions. That number is made up of 143 drugs in a variety of dosages and solid or liquid forms.

At the time of the Florida announcement, Minneapolis-based Target Corp., the country’s No. 2 discounter behind Wal-Mart, said it would match its rival’s lower prices in Florida.

Deerfield, Ill.-based Walgreen Co., one of the nation’s biggest drug store chains, said it would not cut prices.

What do you think?

- posted by Rich Miller 20 Comments


Morning shorts

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

* Quote of the Week: Yes, our governor’s name really is Rod Blagojevich. Yes, he really likes to quote Elvis songs. And, yes, given current headlines, “Jailhouse Rock” might be on his iPod’s recently played list.

* Brown: Illegal immigrants used as pawns in heated campaign rhetoric

* Stroger would oust hundreds of workers - Says he’d request resignations of 500 county appointees

* Health care key governor race issu

* St. Louis-Chicago rail service improves

* Gartel: Green gubernatorial candidate offers refreshing change for Illinois politics

* Congressional race a hot topic in DuPage County

* Only One Governor Earns Top Score on Cato’s Governors Report Card [Blagojevich got a D]

* Stroger workers took signs: GOP

* Bankruptcy fraud charges highlight ‘mortgage bailout’ scams

* Quinn seeking hearing on ComEd exec compensation

- posted by Rich Miller 17 Comments


Warning to all commenters

Thursday, Oct 19, 2006

No “page” rumors are allowed here. If you post one in comments you’re banned for life. No exceptions. Gone forever.

Just give it a chance to come out on its own. You may be surprised and discover that it’s not at all what you thought it was. I’ve heard something completely different than the widespread scuttlebutt. Things have a tendency to morph in the rumor mill. “Everybody” was saying that it was gonna be in the NY Times or the Washington Post this morning. Nada. Bupkis.

Hey, I know that it could also be true. The rumor is incredibly pervasive. But I have yet to see a totally credible, first person source on this. So until there’s absolute confirmation, go somewhere else for your “fun.”

Also, from now on please don’t call or write me asking what the rumor is, no matter how well I know you. I won’t tell.

- posted by Rich Miller Comment


New poll has two races much closer than believed

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

Constituent Dynamics has some fresh numbers for Illinois congressional races. You will recall that they already polled IL 6, 14 and 19 and came up with a few surprises.

These new results are a lot different than commonly believed. Melissa Bean is thought to have a larger lead than this, and Mark Kirk is believed by nobody to be below 50. Still, we’re looking at 1,000 respondents in these (automated) phone polls. Both polls were conducted Oct. 15-16.

* Bean-McSweeney, 47-44 - Crosstabs here [pdf] (They didn’t include the third candidate in the race.)

bean_mcsweeney_10.jpg

* Kirk-Seals, 46-44 - Crosstabs here [pdf]

kirk_seals_10.jpg

- posted by Rich Miller 13 Comments


Rasmussen: 44-36-9

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

Rasmussen did a poll last week before the Rezko indictment which found Rod Blagojevich leading Judy Baar Topinka 49-43-3. Unlike the Tribune, which also polled pre-Rezko, Rasmussen realized that his numbers were no good and did the responsible thing by going back into the field.

The new poll is up (although it’s still behind a subscriber firewall) and Blagojevich leads Topinka and Whitney 44-36-9. Five percent say “other” and 6 percent say they’re unsure. Real Clear has the guv at 45, but I have the crosstabs and it’s 44.

Here’s the most interesting aspect of the poll. 24 percent said they were “certain” to vote for Blagojevich, while 22 percent said they were “certain” to vote for Topinka. Nobody said they were certain Whitney voters.

- posted by Rich Miller 46 Comments


“Ricky, get off my Trans Am!” *** Updated x1 ***

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

Finally, a candidate for Illinois governor I can believe in…


He won’t jump into bed with the special interests or organized crime…


Your hero and mine…


With a running mate who believes in the power of facial hair…


Heck, even Honest Abe is backing Tim Nieukirk for governor of Illinois…


How could you possibly not vote for a guy who puts John L. Lewis on his MySpace page? Hey, Henry, are you out there? Maybe AFSCME can finally endorse somebody in this race.

Part-time customer service work at Best Buy and CVS Pharmacy helped Tim develop the personal skills that will help him navigate through the political bickering of Springfield. […]

Tim believes strongly in education, particularly in higher education. Thus he has attended three such state institutes. He started at Illinois Central College, achieved his Associate’s Degree, transfered to Western Illinois University, and transferred again to Illinois State University to really round out the experience. He currently majors in Safety Sciences. What could say ‘responsible leadership’ better than Safety Sciences?

Tim is a Leo, his favorite color is red, his lucky number is 21. Amongst his proudest accomplishments are being named Senior Patrol Leader (Head of Troop) of Troop 163, being elected Student Council Rep. for Pep Club in high school, and receiving the Antoine de Beauterne Award for Excellence in Werewolf Hunting from the American Lycanthropist Society of America in 2003. His karoake performances of “Blame It on the Rain” frequently reduce men to tears…

Illinois, I think it’s time to “Get Nieuked.”

[And, by the way, if you do nothing else today, watch those first two videos. Brilliant.]

*** UPDATE *** Oh, my goodness. They really have filed the paperwork.

- posted by Rich Miller 27 Comments


Peraica’s new TV ad

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

I had heard that Tony Peraica’s new television ad was powerful. Illiterate voters might have a tough time with it, but other than that, tell us what you think


And if you’re wondering when Stroger will begin airing TV ads, Carol Marin provided us with this tidbit today:

…Stroger last week reportedly told a roomful of North Side Democratic committeemen that he’s running out of money, only has about $400,000 on hand, and needs at least $200,000 more to launch some TV ads in the final week before the election…

- posted by Rich Miller 71 Comments


Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

What’s your over-under on Green Party gubernatorial candidate Rich Whitney’s final vote percentage?

Bonus Question: Handicap tonight’s Cardinals vs. Mets game.

- posted by Rich Miller 48 Comments


Words

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

Judy Baar Topinka says what she’s thinking, for good or ill. Here’s what she told the Daily Herald this week:

“Topinka attributed her lack of traction in the governor’s race to a slew of negative TV ads by Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich that would make “Jesus Christ himself look bad.” […]

“You can make, you know, Jesus Christ himself look bad if you throw $12 million at him in this day and age. I understand that,” Topinka said. “But it’s not fair, and it’s not right, and frankly, it’s not true.”

And this is what she told the Sun-Times:

“His campaign strategy is to try to make me look bad, so he looks better,” she said. “You know what? You can put perfume on a pig, but it’s still a pig.”

Asked if she was calling Blagojevich a pig, Topinka said, “All I’m saying is that old saying that you can put perfume on a pig, but it doesn’t change anything. It may smell better but nothing else.”

Nix said the remark is on par with Topinka’s earlier saying Blagojevich has “little weasel eyes,” and declaring “I’m the sword of justice, and I’m going to cut him [Blagojevich] to pieces.”

“She is unbelievable,” Nix said.

- posted by Rich Miller 47 Comments


Phony attack

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

Alexi Giannoulias has apparently just graduated from the Rod Blagojevich School of Making Stuff Up.

Democratic state treasurer candidate Alexi Giannoulias branded Christine Radogno a “Republican right-wing extremist” Tuesday as the GOP nominee continued blasting loans his family bank has made to convicted felons. […]

“You know, Christine, you walk around and you make these senseless accusations,” Giannoulias said as the debate audience looked on. “You hold yourself up to be this moderate, but you’re really showing yourself to be an extremist - a Republican right-wing extremist who has no ideas and is attacking people.”

Giannoulias was pressed by reporters to define his remark. He responded, “She makes these extreme allegations about our business … just to try and get attention.”

I’ve covered Sen. Radogno for years and she is no “right-wing extremist.” Giannoulias’ credibility was already severely damaged in my eyes, but it’s just about gone now.

- posted by Rich Miller 35 Comments


Cash-strapped Duckworth gets Trib nod, airs Obama ad *** Updated x1 ***

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

Nobody has yet explained why Duckworth has found herself in such a cash crunch, but today’s Tribune endorsement ought to help raise a few bucks.

Duckworth is not nearly as polished a campaigner as her opponent, Republican state Sen. Peter Roskam, who has spent 16 years in the General Assembly. There is something refreshing about that.

Roskam likes to call Duckworth a “liberal,” but he’s been known to use the term loosely. He labeled Republican U.S. Rep. Judy Biggert a “liberal” when he ran against her in 1998. (Biggert, then a state representative, beat him.)

Roskam rarely breaks from the party line, but one case in which he did still nags. In 1995 Roskam and his partner in a personal-injury law firm, former state Rep. Al Salvi, set up a special political committee and solicited more than $70,000 in donations from trial lawyers–half of it coming within 48 hours of a crucial vote on a Republican-sponsored tort reform bill. Roskam and Salvi told lawyers they asked for contributions that they wouldn’t support tort reform.

In the end, Roskam gave in to pressure from Republican leaders and voted for the reform bill–and Salvi and Roskam gave back much of the money they had solicited from the lawyers.

That’s an interesting concept for Springfield–a money-back guarantee on campaign cash solicited for a vote. But the incident smacked of the kind of special-interest politics that needs to be rousted from Washington.

The Sun-Times has more on the cash crunch and her new TV ad.

Just days after filing a report showing her Democratic congressional campaign short of funds, Duckworth plans to begin airing television commercials today featuring U.S. Sen. Barack Obama singing her praises and dubbing her Republican opponent’s ad less than totally honest.

In addition, the campaign will send out a separate version of the commercial in an e-mail to potential donors, volunteers and bloggers with a fund-raising appeal from the Democratic senator tacked on at the end. […]

She reported just $206,381 in her campaign fund on Sept. 30, while Roskam had $1,500,950. […]

The latest Duckworth spot features Obama criticizing Roskam for airing “misleading” television ads that equate Duckworth’s position on illegal immigration with providing amnesty and Social Security benefits to illegal immigrants.

“Tammy and I both support [GOP U.S. Sen.] John McCain’s plan, which does not include amnesty or benefits for illegal immigrants,” Obama says in the ad.

The national Dems began running their TV ad yesterday that blasts Roskam as a book banner.

The Tuesday ad against Roskam features a woman billed as “Mary Kay Doyle, retired teacher,” chastising Roskam for favoring book bans.

“He supported banning classic books, even a book with writings by Martin Luther King, Laura Ingalls Wilder and Dr. Seuss. I just think Peter Roskam is out of step with people here,” the woman said.

The assertion is a reference to three different state legislative plans Sen. Roskam supported in Springfield: one to ban a textbook series from Arlington Heights schools, another to ban books that talk about suicide and a third to allow local juries to determine whether a book is obscene.

Roskam spokesman Jason Roe called the ad a “phony attack,” saying Roskam “was trying to allow parents a voice in knowing that their children don’t get access to ‘suicide-for-dummies’ and pornography.”

*** UPDATE *** Here’s the Obama ad:


And here’s the DCCC ad attacking Roskam.


- posted by Rich Miller 24 Comments


Morning shorts

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006

* Stroger aide quits campaign after arrest

* Marin: That doesn’t mean [Mike Quigley is] happy with the way this campaign is going. Quigley says Stroger is like “Bambi in the land of Godzillas. I think Todd’s tried harder as time went on when he saw he could lose, but fire in the belly? I think he’s still going through the paces for Dad. It’s extraordinarily sad to watch this.”

* Sun-Times: Mayor Daley’s decision to pursue the privatization of Midway Airport is paying dividends for his chief fund-raiser in the black community.

* State worker in trouble for allegedly campaigning on state time: In 2003, Shalabi got his job by the same method that brought in other politically connected candidates hired during the Blagojevich administration. He was hired to work in a county where there was a job opening, but then he was allowed to transfer to work closer to home. State records show that he was hired to work in Boone County, nearly 100 miles from his Lemont home, before he was transferred to Cook County in February 2004.

* Lieutenant governor seeks hearing on ComEd exec compensation

* Sims asks governor for clemency

* Lipinski faces perennial candidate in 3rd district

* Southtown: Gary Smith, 17, backed Blagojevich after conferring with his father. “He said he didn’t like Judy Baar Topinka, he liked Blagojevich. He said Blagojevich was for the people and Topinka could be, but she’s for herself now. So I voted for Blagojevich. He cares for the people, I can tell he does.”

* Sweeny: Chicagoans are no strangers to scandals, but that doesn’t mean they like them

* Kadner: Green Party’s Whitney gets attention of voters

* Saluki Express makes its first run

- posted by Rich Miller 12 Comments


US Rep. Jackson complains about Blagojevich

Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

Congressman Jackson has some harsh words about Gov. Blagojevich.

U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., a probable candidate for Chicago mayor who has blasted contracting and hiring scandals at City Hall, complained today about alleged corruption surrounding the office of Gov. Rod Blagojevich.

“I have not made an endorsement yet in the governor’s race, and I am very concerned about the example that is being set in that office,” Jackson said at a meeting with the Tribune’s editorial board. […]

“I believe that what is taking place with Mr. Rezko has greatly contributed to lack of voter enthusiasm in the current contest, and that it is very damaging to our democracy,” Jackson said. “Qualified and very capable people…will not win because voters won’t show up because of behavior at the top.

“What implosion at the top of the ticket does for qualified people who are knocking on doors and trying to get signatures and get petitions is devastating,” the congressman asserted. “People at the top of the ticket have an obligation to people at the bottom.”

That’s an interesting argument. He’s not so much complaining about the corruption itself as the impact the corruption has on the rest of the ticket - and to “democracy” in general.

Whatever the case, it’ll give y’all something to talk about tonight.

- posted by Rich Miller 58 Comments


What the… ? *** Updated x2 ***

Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

Today’s Tribune endorsement editorial, entitled “How to liberate Cook County,” started out predictably enough.

Years of hard work by anti-machine reformers have led to this moment: the chance for a new president of the 17-member Cook County Board–plus a majority of at least nine steady votes for slashing bloat and improving services.

Tony Peraica should be that new County Board president. And if voters make good choices in board races, his reform agenda will prevail. […]

The County Board to be elected Nov. 7 is likely to include at least eight reformers. Swinging a ninth vote away from the machine politicians who have owned Cook County would make a decisive difference. With that reform agenda driving these choices, here are the Tribune’s endorsements for contested County Board races

The Tribune, which recently discovered that clout played a major role in the 2003 aldermanic election, details a litany of nasty politics by those bad ol’ county board members and even refuses to endorse either candidate in some races.

And then we come to this paragraph:

11th District (South and Southwest Sides, southwest suburbs): This page has argued that incumbent Democrat John Daley has the knowledge and political skills to help engineer a radical overhaul and downsizing of county government. Daley’s familiarity with county finances brings with it a responsibility to be a dynamic force for reform. He is endorsed over Republican political consultant Carl Segvich.

What do you think? Did the Tribsters completely wimp out or do you think they actually believe that John Daley - the brother of the mayor - is a potential anti-machine reformer?

*** UPDATE *** Speaking of goofy newspaper editorials, remember the Northwest Herald’s strange endorsement of Pat Quinn because the paper mistakenly believed the LG was elected separately and Quinn could work with either a Repub or a Dem governor? Well, it wasn’t just the NW Herald. Other papers in the chain also ran the editorial before somebody figured out the oopsie and pulled it offline.

I try not to nitpick because everybody makes mistakes. Stuff happens. But these are endorsements, so the bar is set much higher. Endorsements are supposedly thoroughly debated and carefully considered within the institution before publication. These are not stories written under impossible deadlines or unimportant blurbs that nobody cares about.

Anyway, I was browsing through the NW Herald’s other endorsements today when I noticed this line in the paper’s glowing support for Dan Rutherford:

Rutherford served 20 years in the House

Um… actually, Rutherford served just ten years in the House.

The NW Herald’s endorsement editorial which claimed Topinka has no property tax relief plan also caught my eye. You may not like Topinka’s property tax relief plan, you might think it doesn’t go far enough, you may not think it’ll work as promised, you may even despise her proposed funding source, but she does, in fact, have one.

*** UPDATE 2 *** [Sigh.] I hate to keep at this, but I don’t think the SoS office has 37,000 employees, as claimed in the NW Herald’s Rutherford endorsement. Not even close.

The real headcount is about 3,800.

- posted by Rich Miller 37 Comments


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Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

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Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

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Question of the day *** Updated x1 ***

Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

Let’s assume (probably correctly) that Judy Baar Topinka doesn’t have the money to air both positive and negative ads at the same time.

Faced with this cash dilemma, if you were her would you continue airing negative ads or switch to purely positives? Explain your reasoning.

Bonus question: Will hiring Lou Piniella make any difference at all for the Cubs or should the owners resign?

By the way, the Glengariff Group also polled Illinoisans on the Cubs”

The Chicago Cubs

• Voters were asked if they believe the Chicago Cubs would make the World Series in the next ten years. 34% of voters believe the Cubs will be in the World Series in the next ten years. 40% said they would not. 26% didn’t know.

• Chicagoans were most optimistic with 40% believing the Cubs would reach the World Series.

*** UPDATE *** Gov. Blagojevich’s campaign has a new super-positive ad. “According to my opponent,” the guv says up front, “I’m the worst person on earth and the world is coming to an end. Come one. Let’s get real.”


- posted by Rich Miller 80 Comments


Duckworth low on cash, but Dems starting negative ads *** Updated x1 ***

Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

Tammy Duckworth is no longer running TV ads and is running out of money.

After filling the airwaves with television commercials, Democrat Tammy Duckworth is heading into the crucial final weeks of the west suburban 6th Congressional District contest with a severely depleted campaign war chest.

She had just $206,381 in the bank at the end of last month, while Republican rival Peter Roskam had $1,500,950. […]

Duckworth said she had to answer $1.4 million in television and mail advertising financed by the National Republican Congressional Committee to attack and distort her record in the race to succeed retiring GOP congressman Henry Hyde.

“I couldn’t afford to stay on the air, [but] I’m going to do everything I can to get my message out — talk to the voters, do all of the grass-roots things,” Duckworth said. “I am not going to let this be a campaign that is won or lost based on funds.”

The Daily Herald story ponders whether Duckworth may have peaked too soon, but adds this nugget (albeit buried) that the Sun-Times missed.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which reserved $2.3 million to run ads blasting Roskam, starts airing its first ad today.

Also, Andrew Sullivan writes that this NRCC ad is “all-but racist.”

Notice the visual contrast between the alleged illegals and the white family who will have to “foot the bill” for them. Lovely. But effective.


[Hat tip to a commenter]

*** UPDATE *** Roskam’s own ad on immigration/Social Security/etc. is below.


- posted by Rich Miller 29 Comments


Glengariff Group, treasurer’s race: 33-29-8

Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

More numbers.

In the race for state treasurer, the poll shows Democrat Alexi Giannoulias leading Republican state Sen. Christine Radogno 33 percent to 29 percent but that is within the 4 percentage point statistical margin of error. Green Party candidate Dan Rodriguez Schlorff polled 8 percent. […]

Burnham said Giannoulias began airing television ads in the Chicago area and in central Illinois Monday, and plans to air them statewide starting next week and running through the election.

Radogno said she was “thrilled” with the latest poll results because she has yet to start airing TV commercials.

I’ll post some trends on this a little later this morning.

- posted by Rich Miller 20 Comments


Glengariff Group: 39-30-9 and 20 undecided

Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006

Subscribers had these results yesterday and will get the full results this morning. AP:

A new poll since a close adviser to Gov. Rod Blagojevich was indicted shows the incumbent Democrat with a 9 percentage point lead over his closest challenger, Republican Judy Baar Topinka, according to results released Monday.

The poll also shows 51 percent of voters surveyed believe Blagojevich knew about the alleged corruption involving one of his top fundraisers. Federal prosecutors have accused businessman Antoin “Tony” Rezko of trying to collect kickbacks from companies wanting state business.

Blagojevich has said the indictment does not suggest he had knowledge of any alleged wrongdoing. If the charges against Rezko turn out to be true, Blagojevich says he was duped by a friend.

The new poll numbers that show Blagojevich leading Topinka 39 percent to 30 percent don’t indicate a dramatic shift since the Chicago-based Glengariff Group last surveyed the race in June, when Blagojevich led Topinka 41 percent to 34 percent. Green Party candidate Rich Whitney wasn’t included in that survey but the latest results show him polling 9 percent support.

One in five Illinois voters still is undecided in the governor’s race, the poll found.

Discuss.

- posted by Rich Miller 34 Comments


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Monday, Oct 16, 2006

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Monday, Oct 16, 2006

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Question of the day

Monday, Oct 16, 2006

Assume it’s the first 100 days of a Pat Quinn administration. What happens?

- posted by Rich Miller 87 Comments


Seals goes up *** Updated x1 ***

Monday, Oct 16, 2006

The piece doesn’t say how big this ad buy is, but it is running on network TV.

Democrat Dan Seals will begin airing a television ad Monday tying Republican Rep. Mark Kirk’s votes in Congress to support President Bush.

Seals’ ad suggests Kirk’s support of Bush by reeling off several of the president’s plans that Kirk supported — including the war in Iraq.

“We deserve a leader that will stand with us, not with President Bush,” Seals, of Wilmette, says at the end.

In response, Kirk’s spokesman says that he’ll just be focusing on local issues.

The ad will mark t