The Capitol Fax Blog » Question of the day

Wednesday, Jan 31, 2007

Predict Mayor Daley’s final vote percentage in next month’s election.

Bonus Question: Springfield-area residents should predict Mayor Davlin’s final percent.

- posted by Rich Miller

23 Comments

- Some Guy - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 9:40 am:
78%

As a bonus question can we get how many precincts he’ll lose in the general election? IIRC, last time he lost 6 out of 2912.

- 100% supporter - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 9:40 am:
65%
Brown will do ok on the west side and not as well on the south side. Daley is not going to do as well in the white ethnic wards as he has in the past because of his problem with the police, firemen and the unions but most of those not voting for him will just skip that race.

- Pat Hickey - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 10:10 am:
72% - Daley will do fine in my ‘white ethnic’ Ward; the only firemen and police officers doing the squeaking seem to be the ones posting on the nut-bag blog in the 19th ward - some of the comments are right out of the ozone layer. Rugai and Daley will be fine.

- R.C. - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 10:11 am:
Daley 70
Brown 25
Walls 5

(maybe too generous to dock)

- Bomber91 - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 10:17 am:
Daley-70%

Davlin-65% (Strom doesn’t excite many people that I know and I won’t be voting for him)

- Anonymous - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 10:31 am:
Probably one of the lowest voters turnouts in Chicago history. No one cares anymore. But Corrupt money still buys the office. Of the few loyal Democrats the the organization still has, Daley will get 65%.

- Levois - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 10:46 am:
I’ll give Daley about 65% of the vote.

- Grocery Guy - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 11:30 am:
Daley - 5 Wal-Mart’s
Davlin - 2 Wal-Mart’s

Oh, wait that’s what they will do once elected.

- Skeeter - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 11:52 am:
Daley got 78% last time running against nobody.
Here, Brown is running a race so she will get some votes. Also, there may be a lot of new people out voting this time who are fed up by the clowns in the City Counsel. A percentage of those people will try and wipe the slate clean by voting gainst the incumbent aldermen and also against Mayor Daley.
Some of the unions are not thrilled with Daley, which will hurt.

Still, Daley takes 62%. A lot of people view things as I do: We may not like our own alderman, but we generally like the direction that Daley is taking the city and don’t see any reason to make a change in the big office.

If it is under 60% expect 10 incumbent aldermen to lose also. If he polls over 75%, it will be two or three.

- Dem Bob - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 12:11 pm:
Walls 2-4
Brown 17-20
Daley 76-81

- Team Sleep - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 12:32 pm:
Daley - 70%

I live in Springfield. I am a “Hard R” and will be voting for Davlin. He gets 60%; I would give him more but I can see some people voting for Bruce Strom just because Davlin isn’t married and frequents many watering holes.

- RAI - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 12:32 pm:
30% turnout Daily gets 78% of that

- God's Country - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 1:19 pm:
67% Daley

What’s the over/under for Sequoia machine malfunctions?

- Chgo Fire Guy - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 1:29 pm:
Daley - at least 75%
The Firefighters E-board wouldn’t know a good candidate if one bit them in their behinds.

- Southern Illinois Democrat - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 2:43 pm:
Daley 67%

Davlin 72%

The biggest question will be which race gets called fist.

- JakeCP - Wednesday, Jan 31, 07 @ 10:39 pm:
I am just going to pos what my last poll said. Oh by they way if you want to vote in my latest mayoral poll go to www.jakeschicagopolitics.blogspot.com anyway even though this may sound ridiculous here you go:

Daley:50%
Brown:34%
Walls:17%

- respectful - Thursday, Feb 1, 07 @ 9:10 am:
Speaking of the Springfield election, I predict Sam Cahnman will survive the aldermanic primary.

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