Subscribe to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here     Contact Rich Miller
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here. Subscriptions are $350 per year. To advertise on the Capitol Fax Blog, please click here.
Campaign roundup: Kirk, Foster, Weller districts “leaning Dem”

Monday, Nov 3, 2008

* The Evans & Novak Political Report has moved Republican Congressman Mark Kirk’s race to “Leaning Democratic.” No explanation was offered.

ENPR has freshman Democrat Bill Foster’s race against Republican Jim Oberweis as “Leaning Democratic” as well as Senate Majority Leader Debbie Halvorson’s contest against Republican Martin Ozinga.

* Mike Murray takes a look at the Oberweis vs. Foster race and finds Oberweis coming up short

Independent groups have seen the writing on the wall, as $4.7 million was spent on the competitive special election. However, nothing has been has been spent for the fall rematch, a clear indicator that Foster is the favorite.

Perhaps the best indicator of Foster’s victory comes from Oberweis own pocketbook. In spite of his rhetoric, Oberweis has only contributed $475,000 to his fall campaign compared to the $2 million he shelled out for the special election.

* Adding to the GOP’s problems, early voting was huge in Illinois and election day may set a record…

Election officials counting ballots throughout Illinois say the state has set a new record of more than 821,000 early votes cast.

Authorities say that includes almost 484,000 early voters in Chicago and suburban Cook County.

The previous state high was set during the February primaries, when about 220,000 people voted.

Cook County Clerk David Orr says election judges alarmed by large crowds called fire marshals to several polling places Thursday.

They called out the fire marshalls? Whoa.

* More

Illinois election officials hope that record turnout in advance of the actual Election Day means shorter lines on Tuesday, when many expect turnout to be about 80 percent.

Still, there’s worry that many of the state’s remaining 6.9 million registered voters could clog the polls.

About 220,000 people cast ballots before Election Day in the February primaries in Illinois.

* But Steve Sauerberg bravely soldiers on, albeit in a boat aimlessly floating up the River Nile

One poll of 800 likely voters released this week by Maryland-based Research 2000 found that [Democratic US Sen. Dick Durbin] had a 59 percent to 34 percent lead, 7 percent undecided. But Sauerberg is undaunted: “Our internal polls are not as bad as some other polls.'’

Operative phrase: “Not as bad.”

* PI has posted an excerpt from a CBS News report on veterans running for congress that features Illinois Democratic candidate Jill Morgenthaler…


* Walking precincts can be scary at times, or it could just involve navigating through a maze of Halloween decorations

Life as a campaign foot soldier can be brutal.

Doors slammed in your face; shouting; aggressive dogs. And for April Wong Loi Sing, loud, scary Halloween prop noises.

That’s what the married mom of four and Marty Ozinga volunteer encountered Saturday morning after wading through a front yard of elaborate Halloween decorations, searching for a front door to knock on.

“The homeowner and I had a big laugh afterward,” she said, after a loud, high-pitched noise piped into the front yard had her screaming with shock and fright.

* More stuff…

* NEW: The Cellphone Effect

* Peraica and Alvarez talk tough at churches

* 20,462 people would have been excluded without grace period registration

* Election excitement 1 day away

* Vote or give up your right to complain

* Elections a miracle: Before you make fun of senior citizens who act as judges on Election Day, or anyone else who serves in that capacity, I suggest you take one of the training sessions offered free of charge by the office of Cook County Clerk David Orr. Those judges earn every doughnut they eat on Election Day.

* Candidates deserve our thanks, if not our votes

* About voting in Illinois

- posted by Rich Miller


11 Comments
  1. - Andrew Jackson - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 11:35 am:

    Well, if Novak changed the rating on Kirk I would suspect an internal R poll? Look out below!

    Or, maybe the fact that close to 60% of the early votes in IL-10 came from Dem primary voters.

    Or McCain/Palin being in the crapper.


  2. - adam smith - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 11:43 am:

    Seals’ ground game has been weak and he has yet to articulate any coherent argument against Kirk that is moving voters signficantly. E&N may be have thought the last-minute Obama radio ad for Seals would be a game-changer but it’s low quality and only airing for a few drive time cycles. Meanwhile, Kirk is carpet bombing the airwaves with his sweep of every newspaper endorsement and has his veteran volunteer army out in force. Could it be that some DC insiders don’t actually have a good handle on what’s happening on the ground? Heaven forbid!


  3. - Not a fair shake... - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 12:10 pm:

    From a Republican perspective, there is good and bad news from the 14th. The bad is that Denny’s seat is gone, the good news is that hopefully, oh please good Lord, make the Milk Man go away politically!


  4. - Chicago Election Judge - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 12:41 pm:

    Thanks for the kind words for election judges. I’ll spend this afternoon doing the prep work for the polling place, the only way it is at all possible to be ready by 6am tomorrow. And I’ll get up at 4am tomorrow to be at the polling place at 4:45.

    However, this is all in vain as long as the election judges in Cook County (and perhaps other places) can easily change the Paper Ballot votes. There are so many ways for the judges to alter the vote outcome it is too depressing to list them. In short, as long as judges can ever touch or even see the paper ballots once the voter has marked them, it is a hopeless process.

    That’s why people like Stroger and Beavers are so self-assured in their political arrogance. They know that there is no way to prove that there is any voting fraud in their re-election.

    Meanwhile, the officials who should be catching this are solely focused on Voter fraud –whether signatures match, etc. There is no reason to recruit illegal voters as long as you can control the votes of the legal voters.


  5. - Rich Miller - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 1:12 pm:

    Anyone get the feeling that many of our commenters are walking precincts today?


  6. - Been There - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 1:55 pm:

    ===Walking precincts can be scary at times===
    I was walking a precinct on Saturday and got nipped at by some nasty, little, mutant, mutt. Didn’t hit the skin but I almost kicked him like a Robbie Gould field goal. But I am disappointed in myself. I never made it all the way to the door. The little barker stood his ground.

    It does seem pretty light blogging today. People must be gearing up for tomorrow. I am cutting out early today for some last minute campaigning for Halvorson and working a precinct all day tomorrow.


  7. - ConservativeVeteran - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 2:47 pm:

    I don’t agree with the U.S. Senate poll results: Durbin, 59%; Sauerberg, 34%; and undecided, 7%. At least 4% will vote for all of the other candidates, Chad Koppie, of the Constitution Party; Larry Stafford, a Libertarian; and Cathy Cummings, of the Green Party. I voted for Koppie. I knew that Sauerberg would lose by at least 15%. A republican politician, I know, said that Sauerberg is so liberal, he should have run as a Democrat.


  8. - Rich Miller - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 3:22 pm:

    ===A republican politician, I know, said that Sauerberg is so liberal, he should have run as a Democrat. ===

    He sure ain’t showing it.


  9. - wordslinger - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 5:15 pm:

    I think if Kirk wins, he’ll immediately start running for governor. It looks like a long minority pull for the GOP in the House, so there’s really no joy in being there.

    If he can win a tilting blues suburban district in Obama’s year, he might be what the state GOP is looking for, if they’re actually interested in winning statewide anymore.


  10. - Disgusted - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 7:53 pm:

    As an American by choice, I beg to differ with the statement that if you don’t vote, you can’t complain. I am a voter and always have been. But as long as the government is taking citizens tax dollars and using them for things they don’t agree with, or don’t want them to do, even non-voters have a right to complain. People work hard for their paychecks, especially during these hard economic times and they can vent if they want to. After all they are the ones working for the dollars that the government uses and they don’t give it as a gift - they have no choice, no matter who is voted into office.


  11. - Angry Chicagoan - Monday, Nov 3, 08 @ 7:56 pm:

    If Republicans think that Sauerberg is a liberal, they’re going to be out of office for a very, very long time. Another sign that the GOP is operating at an unprecedented level of delusion.

    And unless they exit fantasyland and rejoin the real world, we can look forward to a future of more Blagojeviches on the Democratic side rather than fewer.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


ON THE BLOG TODAY...
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Afternoon campaign roundup
* More thoughts about Garrett's lite guv candidacy
* Question of the day
* Cohen claims his religion was a factor
* On the process
* K2 ban advances - And a Statehouse roundup
* Morning Shorts
* Sen. Susan Garrett a "top contender" for LG
** Yesterday's blog posts

Support The Capitol Fax Blog
Visit our advertisers...

Search This Blog...

Search the 96th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 96th General Assembly By Keyword

Quick Links


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Polls

Archives
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress
 

  
  » Review: MouseWait 1.5
  » Review: Hellemental for iPhone
  » Review: Motorola Cliq XT smartphone
  » OS 5.0.0.508 Coming To The Verizon BlackBerry Curve 8530 March 22nd
  » Microsoft pulls Bing app from non-U.S. App Stores

  » This Week's Top Downloads [Download Roundup]
  » Build Your Own Camera Crane for Super Steady Video [Weekend Project]
  » Bind Paper Into a Booklet With Just Some Clever Folds and Cuts [Crafts]
  » Make a Beach Stereo Out of a Cooler [How-to]
  » Build a Vortex Cannon [Science]

» Bobby Jenks has MRI, Calf Deemed As Tasty as a Smoked Turkey Leg
» Pitching coach not worried about stats
» Jenks held out of Saturday's action
» Andruw goes deep against Padres
» Guillen realizes son had to move on

 
     


  » Advocates: State needs more sunshine - Southtown S....
  » Madigan makes sure his party keeps control - The S....
  » True lap of employee luxury - The Courier News..
  » Cuts to Illinois State Police budget could be deep....
  » Madigan pushes for judicial experience amendment -....
  » Lt. governor hopefuls 'audition' for job - WLS..
  » Fix It!: Can you get them to stop calling me? - Ka....
  » Illinois budget reform: Smarter spending would pre....
  » Broken trust: Prepaid funeral loss leaves Dixon fa....
  » Editor's view: Citizens can insist on accountabili....


  » Chicago suburbs awarded obesity prevention grant
  » Illinois to honor female veterans in Chicago
  » Weir Hears Cheers Not Jeers In Oak Lawn
  » Health Reform: Prayers & Protest Here
  » Il. Dems Hold Audition for Lt. Governor
  » Ill. Democrats hold auditions for lt. governor
  » Sixty Thousand CTA Farecards Expiring
  » 10-year-old Illinois girl dies in ATV accident
  » US official: India to question Chicago man
  » Two Men Shot Near South Side School

  » Gov. Quinn lobbies Caterpillar execs to build plant in Illinois
  » AMA backs President Obama's health care bill
  » Charlie Trotter ends Vegas run with restaurant closing
  » Democrats close in on lieutenant guv choice
  » CME argues bankruptcy law allows keeping names of Lehman position buyers secret


  » Cook Co. gets $16M to battle obesity
  » State to honor female veterans in Chicago
  » 4 injured in N. Side crash
  » Snow, rain through Sunday, but spring weather returns
  » Overnight Blue, Red Line delays this week
  » Utility worker struck by car dies of injuries
  » Elgin man charged for having sex with girl: police
  » Cops find guns, cannabis in south suburban home
  » Man shot in S. Side altercation not cooperating with police
  » Men trade gun during Elgin armed robbery, beating: police


  » Two men shot on South Side
  » Four critically injured in North Side accident
  » Shamrock Shuffle to shut down streets today
  » Summit man charged with weapons violations
  » Illinois to honor female veterans in Chicago
  » 120 Chicago buses off to D.C. immigration march
  » Daley won't discuss specifics of FBI interview
  » Garrett among finalists for Dem lt. governor
  » DuPage water audit cites negligence
  » Making harmonicas of note


  » Immigrants To Rally in East Chicago
  » AMA Backs Health Care Bill, Says It's Not Perfect
  » Teachers Fearful, Angry Over Budget Cuts
  » Durbin Believes Health Care Bill Will Pass
  » Some Illinois Democrats Still Unsure on Health Care
  » Supreme Court Takes Up Asian Carp Debate Again
  » Illinois Budget Deficit Could Hurt Odds of Winning Federal Money
  » Illinois Behind in Spending Federal Housing Dollars
  » Chicagoan Pleads Guilty to Terror Attack that Killed 160
  » Obama Administration Still Want Thomson Prison


  » Madigan pushes for judicial experience amendment
  » Democrats cut lieutenant governor list to 17
  » Police investigate death of 72-year-old Roodhouse woman
  » Attacks on women near U of I campus prompt warnings
  » 10-year-old girl dies in ATV accident in Madison County
  » East St. Louis day-care owners sentenced for fraud
  » Illinois company offers sober rides to customers
  » Trout fishing to begin in Lake County
  » Stroger Hospital sells 2,500 car seats in 1 year
  » Man found hiding in attic


  » Bill would add criminals to lifetime registry
  » Men’s health conference draws good crowd
  » Local demonstrators march for end of wars
  » Smoke ’em if you got ’em — but not in public
  » Voice of the Reader: 3-21


» Majority leader: Democrats have votes for health care bill
» Former Interior Secretary Udall dies at age 90
» Volcano erupts in Iceland, hundreds evacuated
» Grave robbers steal Cyprus Archbishops' remains
» Internet called one of the biggest threats to endangered species


  » Our President, in "Preacher Mode"
  » GOPUSA ILLINOIS Daily Clips - March 20, 2010
  » GOPUSA ILLINOIS Daily Clips - March 19, 2010
  » Cuts could hurt Race to the Top application
  » Nonprofit hospital not exempt from local tax

» Chicago lawmakers undecided as health vote lo..
» Sunday Talking Heads: March 21, 2010 - Firedo..
» Melissa Bean will vote in favor of health car..
» Dems race to lock in final votes - The Free L..
» Anxious for action, local groups join nationa..
» Late TV Listings - Boston Globe
» Healthcare Reform: Prayers & Protest Here - M..
» Tea Party Protest at Illinois Rep. Bean's Off..
» Health Care Votes - Atlanta Journal Constitut..
» No explanation from Daley on FBI interview - ..

» Hispanic enrollment growing - Times Daily...
» James R. Carroll | McConnell awaits last stan.....
» Late TV Listings - Boston Globe...
» Senate Passes Bill Toughening Powder Cocaine .....
» Health plan numbers came out 'just right' - S.....

» Now that the Illinois Supreme Court has clear.....
» Burris is confident of health reform - Bellev.....
» Senator discusses health care, jobs - Alton T.....
» Senators question flood mapping - Burlington .....
» Party on: A Smoot toot - Chicago Sun-Times...

    » State Rep. Carol Sente Flip-Flops on National Health Care Support
    » Law Breakers on Parade Again
    » Architectural Bike Tour Of Lakeview
    » Health care reform legislation -- the updated chances passage in the House
    » Tony Judt
    » Obama evidently believes Republicans just don't care
    » Halvorson commits to a "yes" on Obamacare
    » How Dare They?
    » Nancy Boy
    » A Family Of Pricks


Header Photos...
Wayne Bretl & UIS


Hosted by MCS