The Capitol Fax Blog » Question of the day

Wednesday, Dec 23, 2009

* Predict the winner and his margin of victory in the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial primaries.

- posted by Rich Miller

36 Comments

- Wow - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:06 am:
Jim Ryan with 31%
Pat Quinn with 54%

- Ravenswood Right Winger - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:06 am:
Quinn, 57-43.
Jim Ryan wins with 21% of the vote.

- observer - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:08 am:
(and that is quinn with 56, ryan with 27)

- John Bambenek - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:16 am:
Quinn will win with 60%.

The Republican Primary will be cancelled at Jim Ryan will have oil poured over his head on Feb 3rd signifying his annointing as the second coming of George Ryan.

- Moving to Oklahoma - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:16 am:
Jim Ryan with 27%
Patt Quin with 58%

- anon - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:26 am:
I’m gonna go out on a limb:

Kirk Dillard 28%
Dan Hynes 51%

- Ben S. - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:37 am:
Pat Quinn with 51%
Bill Brady with 20%

- Anon - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:38 am:
Pat Quinn by 10%
Andy Mckenna by 2%

- downstate hack - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:39 am:
Pat Quin with 53%

Kirk Dillard with 28%

- Lake Voter - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:40 am:
McKenna 27% beating nearest competetor by 3%
Hynes 52% beating Quinn by 4%

- Arthur Andersen - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:51 am:
(each keystroke is painful to make here…)

Quinn 55/ Hynes 45

Ryan 30/ the others struggle into double digits, with Brady the bridesmaid at 16%.

- Anon-Number7 - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 11:59 am:
Pat Quinn - 55%
Bill Brady - 29%

- kj - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:06 pm:
pat quinn 53% wins by 8
jim ryan 37% wins by 16

- 4 percent - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:07 pm:
quinn wins 51 to 45 percent

dillard wins by 2 percent over ryan. mckenna third and brady fourth.

- wise guy - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:09 pm:
Gop Side:

ryan 29
mckenna 26
dillard 20
brady 14
AA 5
Bob 3
Poft 3

Quinn 52
Hynes 48

First poll after the primary, Ryan beating Quinn by 12, the product of serious hynes bashing at the end.

- Bring Back Boone's - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:14 pm:
Quinn with a margin of 10%

McKenna with a margin of 5%

- Joe from Joliet - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:21 pm:
Republican primary voters will come to realize that there is absolutely no way that Illinois will elect another Republican named Ryan as governor.

Quinn 54%
Dillard 31%

Dillard wins the general 46 - 33 - 21.

- Sandy Claws - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:22 pm:
Democrat slate: QUINN (64%) Hynes (36%)
GOP slate:BRADY (30%)-Dillard (24%)- Proft (18%)-Ryan (17%)- McKenna (8%)-Schillerstrom (3%)

- SweetLou - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:30 pm:
Quinn 58%

As much as I want to see Dillard cause I think he’s a good guy it’s gonna be Ryan with 32% and none of the others breaking 20%

- quincy - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 12:53 pm:
why I ask do the republicans always hide the truth about ho they have been with. Like jimmy boy RYAN [another one] said he and stu lev. are good friends and he always gave him lots of money for his campains. Come on tell us all the truth about you and your ol body stu lev. Maybe the feds need to look in your closet and she what they find.Your just another Ryan hideing the truth right

- Rudy - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 1:18 pm:
McKenna wins by 3-6%
Quinn wins by 10%

- Angry Republican - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 1:28 pm:
Hynes 51%
Quinn 49%

Ryan 38%
Rest of field 62%

Madigan will blame Quinn for the big tax increase that passes the house on Feb 5.

- Capitol View - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 1:37 pm:
it really does not matter, as long as the House continues to block tax restructuring and reform as part of an overall tax increase.

Which of these candidates, Rs or Ds, can get the Speaker to change his mind in 2010? (none)

- Phineas J. Whoopee - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 2:14 pm:
If Quinn does it right and reinforces in the voters minds that Hynes is running to keep the boys in charge-in charge, he should win by 15 to 20%.

In the abbreviated crunch that will begin in about a week, I can’t see a Republican gaining enough name recognition and notoriety to overtake Ryan. Ryan should win by 7%

- DuPage Dave - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 2:39 pm:
Quinn will win by 6 points over Hynes. I wish it were otherwise.

Ryan will win by 2 points over the crowded field.

Question: Is there any Republican less capable of beating Quinn than Ryan? He’s got name recognition but lots and lots of negatives, plus he’s been out of the game for quite a while. I think any of the other Repugs would have a much better chance.

Have a great Christmas, fellow CapFaxers!!

- Pre - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 2:49 pm:
Hynes 52.5%
Quinn 46.5%

Ryan 33%
Dillard 29%
Brady 17%
McKenna 14%
Other 7%

Do we get a prize? If so, I suggest Sox tickets?

- Tunes - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 4:09 pm:
Hynes- 52% (by 5%)
Dillard- 30% (by 2%)

- just sayin' - Wednesday, Dec 23, 09 @ 4:15 pm:
Quinn - 54

Dillard - 29
Ryan -27
Brady - 26
McKenna - 14
Adam A. - 3
Proft & Schillerstrom - less than 1%

[Minor adjustments if one or more of the bottom tier drop out which I think could still happen.]

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