Election results live blog, Part 1 - Exit poll has Quinn up by 2.5, Kirk and Giannoulias tied - Peraica way down
Tuesday, Nov 2, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * 7:00 pm - And here we go. Election results can be found here. Exit polling can be found here. * CNN has the gubernatorial exit polls up… Since they’re evenly divided between the genders, those numbers mean Pat Quinn is up by 2.5 points over Bill Brady. Wow. [Corrected stupid math error] * On to the Senate… That would mean Kirk up by half a point, but there’s rounding in there, so it’s essentially tied. [Corrected stupid math error] * Vote by region, governor… Looks like Quinn just barely hit his targets. * Vote by region, Senate… * Keep in mind that this is a poll. It’s a big poll, but it’s still a poll. So both election results are well within the margin of error. There’s no guarantee of a Quinn win just yet. *** 8:04 pm *** From the Chicago elections board…
*** 8:16 pm *** With slightly over half the precincts reporting, Tony Peraica is losing badly…
There’s only one precinct in the city and it hasn’t reported yet. *** 8:19 pm *** With over half the vote counted, Joe Berrios has the lead… *** 8:24 pm *** With half the vote in, Republican Bob Dold is leading Dan Seals… * Let’s take a look at some congressional races. Congressman Phil Hare is behind…
Dold is ahead…
As is Bean…
Lots of votes left to count…
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- cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:06 pm:
according the returns at 7:05, Its still tied. Maybe that scott cohen still has a chance.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:08 pm:
CNN exit poll looks good for Quinn.
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:12 pm:
Like Kevin Bacon said in “Animal House” …
“Stay Calm … all is well!” …
- Anon - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:15 pm:
Jo - I remember back in ‘90 CNN said the same thing about Hartigan. We all know how that worked out.
- Expat - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:17 pm:
CNN and ABC exit polls are wildly divergent. ABC shows Brady ahead Guess we will have to wait for the actual numbers.
- Scott217 - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:17 pm:
For what it’s worth, a Reddit thread on a voter at ISU who says he was disenfranchised.
http://www.reddit.com/comments/e09gf/i_tried_to_vote_in_illinois_i_was_disenfranchised/
- siriusly - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:17 pm:
It’s way too early to know anything. Ask President Gore.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:19 pm:
Ask President Dewey!
- babs - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:21 pm:
Patricia for chicago - tv ad just aired on MSNBC. No rest for the weary.
- swingstate - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:22 pm:
I have a feeling I’ll be doing a lot of refreshing tonight, and not a lot of work.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:23 pm:
Rich - do you think result publishing will be delayed since there are a couple precincts that will be open until 8?
- Lewis Grad - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:26 pm:
Either the exit poller will have egg on their face or every pre-election pollster will. Quinn’s Real Clear Politics average is 39 and the exits suggest he will get 45-47% of the vote.
- kj - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:30 pm:
I think the exit poll may have missed the model, this may be the most downstate heavy electorate in a long time.
- IrishPirate(Bluto) - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:31 pm:
Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?
And it ain’t over now. Imagonna go to a movie.
I’ll check back in later to see whether I should be miserable or just mildly annoyed.
Now the real question we all need to ask ourselves is where is Rahm today and what does he think about the election results.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:32 pm:
Chicagoelections.com is the only place online that has election results at this point…
- cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:32 pm:
—KJ—
That is what I was thinking but too nervous to ponder?
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:32 pm:
Scott, Not surprised to hear something fishy going on with voting at ISU. There was some article in the Pantagraph about early/grace period voting where the clerk was saying she was not allowing students to grace period register/vote at the same time at their on-campus grace period registration sites (even though they would allow people vote early at the same time they grace period registered elsewhere and even though legally they could have set up things to help those people vote early at the same time they registered). The clerk sounded somewhat hostile to student voters in the article, although maybe she was just upset about unfunded mandates on county clerks… I don’t know.
- Angry Chicagoan - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:34 pm:
Beginning to wonder if I should have stayed with my original prediction, Quinn and Alexi, with the GOP taking the state House. But what I really can’t quite believe is Quinn running ahead of Alexi.
- Ghost - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:35 pm:
over under on this being done by morning?
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:35 pm:
Suburban Cook results are now coming up as well:
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:37 pm:
Recall amendment returns from chicagoelections.com:
Amendment to Illinois Constitution
403 out of 2570 precincts (15.68 %)
Yes 64,333 69.93 %
No 27,659 30.07 %
How much does this need to get? 60 percent?
- cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:38 pm:
On an unrelated topic,
Rich asked about memories you will remember about this election. I now have my favorite memory. Right now, I am sitting in my car outside a polling place with my young children (their mother has a master’s class tonight). We are waiting for the judge’s to post the returns on the door before leaving for the county office building. (the county chair asked that I get numbers to him immediately). Righ now, I am Listening to WLS while the girls watch matilda the movie. They still don’t get why we are sitting in a parking lot. However, still this awesome to pass along the tradition of actually somewhat caring about elections. As I write this, one of my daughters is asking why this is taking so long. I told her that this might not be over…for a few days.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:38 pm:
Quinn running 2% ahead of Alexi in Suburban Cook so far.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:39 pm:
cuban - next time… get in before the doors close.
- Lewis Grad - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:39 pm:
Anyone else surprised that Kirk is running ahead of Brady in Southern Illinois?
- cuban pilot - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:42 pm:
–jo–
way to spoile a memory. Just kidding. The answer is that I was in the middle of a cohiba and b/c we cant smoke in doors all of a sudden, I now wait listening while listening to bruce demount.
- Louis XVI - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:46 pm:
Quinn is doing slightly better in Chicago than Blago-Quinn did in 2006 by 1 point.
- Anonymous ZZZ - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:48 pm:
Oh, geez…CLTV is talking about the mayoral race. Please - can we just focus on TODAY’S election????
- Still Gettin Twisted - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:53 pm:
what was turnout in Dupage?
- MLG - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:55 pm:
It would be very helpful, at some point, if the Suntimes took the uncontested races off their website.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:56 pm:
Scott Lee Cohen pulling 4%(!) in Chicago. But it looks like it is coming from Brady by a ratio of 2-1 (comparing to senate race and treasurer race).
- babs - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:57 pm:
John Mulroe is ahead in the 10th over Doherty! this is gonna be fun
- Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:57 pm:
If you go to Carl’s Ice Cream in Normal with you “I Voted” sticker you get free ice cream. Owner says it’s his way to encourage people to vote. By early afternoon, he had 100 people. Not too much publicity but it is on the the web now. Wonder how many more he will get tonight.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 7:58 pm:
There was just a commercial for Patricia Van Pelt-Watkins for Mayor of Chicago on CLTV. I think she’s going to give Rahm a run for his money. At least it was positive.
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:00 pm:
Can Rich put in a filter on this site for that five letter word starting with m just for tonight?
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:08 pm:
PQ currently winning Sangamon County (to answer an earlier question)
- Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:08 pm:
From McLean County-
Brady 1881
Quinn 807
Whitney 74
Green 39
Cohen 44
Kirk 1782
Alexi 741
City of Bloomington has not reported yet
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:12 pm:
Wow - in the current results… Scott Lee Cohen appears to be pulling almost completely from Brady:
Quinn (D)447,718
Brady (R)242,835
Cohen (I)28,321
compared to:
Giannoulias (D)447,800
Kirk (R)272,969
- Way Way Down Here - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:12 pm:
Lewis: I sure am.
- Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:16 pm:
Previous votes have been taken down from the McLean County site. Now, have posted only one pecinct.
- VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:17 pm:
The City has Alexi at 292,606…. and this does not include early voting, that was very good for the Dems….. Long night, but looking good.
- Cheswick - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:17 pm:
Is it too soon to be giddy? I am.
- VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:19 pm:
….1529 out of 2570 precincts (59.49 %)
- VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:23 pm:
Cheswick, mildly giddy, but I’v been down this road before with Hartigan
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:25 pm:
The lesson re: Peraica - don’t get arrested the weekend before the election.
- Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:28 pm:
Now 4 precincts in McLean County–
Brady 6524
Quinn 2668
Whitney 304
Cohen 171
Green 159
Kirk 6242
Alexi 2426
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:29 pm:
Quinn is being helped tremendously by the other folks on the ballot:
- Cohen is pulling nearly all his votes from Brady
- Whitney is only getting 2% this time
That’s a big hurdle for Brady to climb…
- metro transplant - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:30 pm:
Majority of Dem’s trailing right now in Madison County. Lisa and Jesse ahead (of course).
- VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:30 pm:
McHenry County: 8:30
Precincts Reporting 52/212 24.53%
PAT QUINN DEM 5851 35.81%
RICH WHITNEY GRN 572 3.50%
BILL BRADY REP 8989 55.02%
LEX GREEN LIB 206 1.26%
SCOTT LEE COHEN 700 4.28%
- Tin hat? Laugh if you will ... - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:34 pm:
I’ve been saying for awhile that I thought the SLC meeting at 65th and Pulaski was a bit more strategic than just “drop off the ticket.”
You wonder where that cash was spent and how it was targeted.
- stateandlake - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:35 pm:
Walsh and Bean dead even in Lake Co, Bean still up by 4000 votes in Cook.
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:36 pm:
Seals is trailing… but most of the remaining votes will come in from Cook…
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:37 pm:
Then again… I don’t know if what’s left of Cook will go for Seals…
- stateandlake - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:39 pm:
And.. Walsh ahead 2000 in McHenry. Very tight race!
- metro transplant - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:46 pm:
Total number from Madison County. Mind you it was only 8 precincts.
DEANNA DEMUZIO 1297
WILLIAM “SAM” McCANN 1642
- chitownguy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:48 pm:
Think Bean has it. Same for Dold. Very tight Treasurer’s race though.
- VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:49 pm:
McHenry County:
Precincts Reporting 14/80 17.50%
MELISSA BEAN DEM 1804 45.36%
BILL SCHEURER GRN 143 3.60%
JOE WALSH REP 2030 51.04%
- VoterUSA - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:50 pm:
Walsh is not ahead by 2000..
http://www.mcvote.org/
- Jo - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:51 pm:
Rich - I suggest linking to the ABC results. They are already at 49% reporting statewide:
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2010_Elections/Illinois
- Nearly Normal - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:51 pm:
From McLean County–
Brady, Kirk, Rutherford,Topinka have comfortable leads of 66-70% in their respective races. Lisa Madigan has 50.9% over Kim’s 45.21% and Jesse White has 55.93% over Enriquez 40.42% in this Republican majority area.
In City of Bloomington, the percentages are lower for Reps although they still lead in the same races as above. Madigan and White have better percentages in their respective races.
The Kinzinger - Halverson race is closer in the city than it is in the rest of the county. Again, due to higher numbers of Dems in the city.
- Arthur Andersen - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:51 pm:
Of interest here in the ‘Patch, looks like Sheriff Williamson will survive the snoozing deputy debacle…with 67% reporting, he’s up 62-38 or 9,000 votes on Regan.
- Anonymous - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 8:57 pm:
Welcome back, AA!
- Whew! - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:02 pm:
Tony Peraica loses? Well, my question has been answered: There is a God
- Whew! - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:02 pm:
Tony Peraica loses? Well, my question has been answered: There is a God
- sing me something new - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:03 pm:
Is the city waiting to find out how many votes it needs?
- Whew! - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:03 pm:
I was so excited, I had to say it twice to believe it. Sorry Rich.
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:11 pm:
The Brady campaign party looks completely dead on the WGN coverage.
- Far Northsider - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:14 pm:
Whew! Yes, there is a God!
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:16 pm:
They just interviewed Pat Brady on WGN. Interesting that he immediately pivoted from governor’s/Senate discussion to talk up the U.S. House races.
Forrest Claypool conceding and holding back tears with a literally flowery speech… says they have victory in defeat and “planted seeds in defeat that will grow and be harvested by others” Seeds of fairness, liberty and decency.
Oh and now we get John Kass suggesting Claypool lead the Stop Rahm coalition for mayor. Ugh. Give us ONE NIGHT off!
- Elmhurst - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:17 pm:
Don’t see how there’s enough votes for Foster to turn the margin around with almost all of Aurora in.
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:19 pm:
Saw Pat Brady do that too … not a “good” sigh for Bill Brady … but not a death nail … I think there are some nervous people in Bloomington.
- Elmhurst - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:20 pm:
John Kass on TV is even worse than John Kass in print. Oy.
- Way Way Down Here - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:21 pm:
hisgirlfriday: lol
- Cheswick - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:22 pm:
It looks like Phil Hare is going down. Unfortunately.
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:23 pm:
Jim Edgar “Illinois is a Democratic State …” Ut oh …”Kirk is doing better downstate than Bill Brady” … ut oh #2 ….
- Rich Miller - Tuesday, Nov 2, 10 @ 9:26 pm:
We have a fresh thread, campers. Go there, because I’m closing this one.