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Die-hard election results live-blog - ONLY CHICAGO, COOK COUNTY REMAIN; Fox: 9,000 absentees in Chicago
Wednesday, Nov 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * Midnight - I’m staying up. You with me? * Oh, and in case you were wondering, Gov. Quinn’s lead is now 7,576 votes. *** 12:06 am *** Bill Brady just said the election won’t be decided tonight, so that’s it for him. *** 12:10 am *** The AP has declared Republican Bob Dold the winner in the 10th CD. * 12:33 am - The Quinn margin is now 10,933. * 12:39 am - This is odd. Here is the AP total for Speaker Madigan’s district…
Notice that less than half the precincts are reported as counted. But the city and the county both have MJM’s district as completely counted. So, either somebody forgot to update a single district. Or, the AP isn’t including those MJM district totals in their grand totals. I strongly suspect it’s the former, not the latter. But one never knows. *** 12:43 am *** From Caroi Fowler of Fox Chicago…
That would be the ballgame. * 12:50 am - Precincts not yet counted statewide: 266. Precincts not counted in Chicago: 53. Not counted in Cook: 69, which is the same as earlier. I hope David Orr has not gone to bed. That would suck. * 12:54 am - Quinn to crowd: “It looks like another landslide victory is heading our way.” * 12:55 am - The governor’s lead is now 9,133. * 12:57 am - Quinn: “I think when all is said, we’ll end up on top with the most votes.” And the crowd goes wild. * 1:04 am - Great. Just great. The Chicago elections results website is down. * 1:16 am - The AP hasn’t updated in a while, so I’m gonna take a nap. Update in comments if you wish. Thanks much for everything tonight. I have the greatest commenters on Planet Earth. Bar none! *** 1:30 am *** Barton here. As Rich said, the CBOE’s Web site is down, but Cook County and the AP continue to provide updates. There are now 32 precincts that still need to be counted in the County. Quinn leads by 8,515. * 1:43 am - Some new data from the city board. There are now 48 Chicago precincts uncounted. Quinn leads Brady in the city precincts that have been counted 75.4% - 17.5%. * 1:50 am - It would appear as if the downstate vote is done being counted, according to a graphic POLITICO is maintaining with data from the AP. It’s on you, Cook County.
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- Dan Johnson-Weinberger - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:15 am:
Absolutely.
- Piling on - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:15 am:
gov uncertainty should make Thursday’s session interesting. Think Brady will show?
- hisgirlfriday - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:15 am:
Logical Thinker, on your point about a Pyrrhic Victory from the previous thread — It depends on which is more important to you. What has more power and prestige and more ability to help your party? A governor’s office with control over a $60B budget and thousands of jobs or some new Congresscritters with bully pulpits and no leadership positions and control of no more than 100 Republican jobs?
OT… I never watch CBS2 but do Bill Curtis and Walter Jacobsen always resemble the old guys on the Muppet Show anchoring the news or is it just the way they’re set up for election coverage?
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:15 am:
You betcha!
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:15 am:
In the most-brotherly, fraternal-politcal … “we love you Rich” cheering section way to say this … My response to your question …in the immortal words of Richard Dawson …
“Let’s play the Feud”
- Dan Johnson-Weinberger - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:16 am:
Looks like 2,000,000 fewer votes in 2010 than in 2008 (about the same as 2006). Reminds of what Speaker Madigan said about the 1970 Constitutional Convention — moving gubernatorial elections to the “off-year” was the biggest tactical mistake.
It really is something that we lose 40% of the electorate for every gubernatorial election. There’s something very wrong about that.
- Justin Boland - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:16 am:
Heck yeah. Too much beer in the fridge…and too much of an investment after a month of working for the campaign.
- Barton Lorimor - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:17 am:
“I heard you b**ches wanna play whiffle ball!”
Let’s play.
- He Makes Ryan Look Like a Saint - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:17 am:
What is still out?
- Don't Worry, Be Happy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:17 am:
I’m going to bed, been up since 4:00 am (like a lot of people, I know!).
311 precincts out for Gov, with nearly half in Cook plus those 9500 absentee ballots. I’m utterly amazed, but I think Quinn pulled it out
- shore - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:18 am:
Of course in this election year do you have a recount.
I have to hand it to comrade madigan, that was some work he and his squad did. For all the talk about obama, madigan did a better job in illinois and this is probably why he is who he is.
- anon - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:19 am:
Yup - who wouldn’t want to stay up with you Rich?!?!
- Give Me A Break - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:19 am:
I’m not going to bed until Rich or Barton give us the official, “Comments Closed For The Weekend” at which point in time, I will retire to my bed and come to grips with the fact we have Senate Session on Thursday.
- rummy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:19 am:
1,312,416 votes counted in cook,
with 97% reporting I would say there’s roughly 30,000-40,000 votes left in cook,
so with quinn has been averaging 64% in cook county
30k to 40k x 63&= 18k-25k votes left for quinn in cook.
- Amalia - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:19 am:
yep, thankful you are up doing this for us Rich!
fun watching Alexi and Kirk turn into people who want to drink beer and not be snappish with each other (sorry, Alexi people, Kirk did mention your guy and tried to shut his crowd down, please face that reality). I am a Democrat but I truly believe
that Kirk was more deserving.
also fun watching Bill and Walter…yikes, it’s the 60s and 70s!
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:20 am:
I heard the votes Brady is looking for are in shoe boxes in a hotel in Springfield … isn’t that where everything that is missing turns up in Illinois politics?
- Who Cares - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:20 am:
I’ve been up since 4:30 so whats a few more hours. I’m sure you will all keep me amused.
- Fed Up State Employee - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:20 am:
I’ll have to stop to go to work at 7:30, so I’ve got a few more hours. Let’s do it!
- Louis XVI - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:20 am:
The royal head is beginning to nod.
- Nearly Normal - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:20 am:
So is the problem with military personnel not getting their absentee ballots–and the lateness of the ones who did–going to be one of the Brady camp’s reasons for the loss? Will they be on the state board of elections about how that fiasco was handled?
Stay tuned for the next episode of “The Brady Bunch Moves to the Governor’s Mansion” on this station.
- Susie - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:21 am:
I’m here for awhile longer. finishing off a bowl of popcorn and going back and forth to the TV and computer. still can’t believe Quinn is going to stay in office. major disappointment, but if he pulls it off as it appears he will, then I wish him the best.
- Buck - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:21 am:
Who is your favorite new kid? Is it Donnie, Dannie or Jorden?
- Dave - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:21 am:
No work tomorrow so I’m up to see what happens.
- rummy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:21 am:
Brady says governor race too close to call
http://newsblogs.chicagotribune.com/clout_st/2010/11/gov-pat-quinn-republican-bill-brady-illinois-governor-race.html
- hisgirlfriday - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:22 am:
So who is going to head to the Billy Goat Tavern tomorrow (at Lower Michigan, not Lower Wacker Mark Kirk) to see if Kirk and Alexi show up to share that bipartisan beer?
That was a halfway decent moment in his speech and the news cut away before he started working with Durbin which is a shame, because it seemed like his first part of the speech was way smug and cocky like a guy who won by 10 or 15 percent and not cut things super close. Pretty offputting. Will be interesting to see if he becomes besties with the Maine ladies or gives the Tea Party folks what they want in terms of obstructionism.
- IrishPirate(Bluto) - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:22 am:
Well look on the bright side of this election.
Claypool and Burris are now available to run for “da mare”.
- Hawkeye - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:22 am:
wow…even a stopped clock is right twice a day.
- western illinois - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:22 am:
Assuming Quinn Hangs on I wonder about the future
Cook County alone can run the state.A similar thing happened in New York depite senate and Gov Landslides there upstate house seats were worse than ours 2 of our dem losses were Mark Kirk related . If it was another teabagger Only 17and 11 would have gone. I think New York was worse but if dems hold legislature there like here thye can unpack New York and Chicago and think of CA and Florida The house could flip flop a lot
Ohio MI and PA were wipe outs due to much worse economic devatation than say IL or MN .
Sorry if I am rambling but this is really a strange election and I think a significant one
- Brett - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:23 am:
Question: Who gets the military vote? It would seem the Brady camp has realized their only hope lies within these ballots. How many soldiers funerals did he attend?
- train111 - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:23 am:
Quinn back up to 9716
- Mike Ins - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:23 am:
Gidwitz not exactly sounding too confident.
- Washington, DC - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:24 am:
You’ve been our “go-to” all day Rich, best source by far in Illinois election night. Love, DC Gal & Company.
- Gregor - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:25 am:
Brett; that’s a good burn. Might turn out to be true, as well…
- rummy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:26 am:
what we’ll be talking about
senate race - alexi too much baggage, the lelan factor?, inexperienced.
I though Alexi ran a smart campaign but just came up a little bit short.
Gov. race - plummer bummer?, the cohen factor, chicago democrats?.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:26 am:
Hey … everyone …
I just got a note that the Brady campaign is NOT telling Jason they are losing yet … they are calling it “Operation Santa Claus” … so when you want to reference votes, call them “peanuts” and when you want to mention Quinn … you say “Hamster”
Example …
“Well, the ‘Hamster’ has about 8k ‘peanuts’ now”
Don’t break Jason’s heart … don’t bust his bubble yet … we were kid’s once too
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:26 am:
I will stay up as long as I can, but as I have my night cap (err, my 3rd night cap before bed), I and all my conservatives in southern illinois are troubled by this:
Kirk wins,
Rutherford wins,
JBT wins,
Dwight Kay wins (really sweet, b/c a friend of blago is no friend of mine),
McCann wins,
Rosenthal wins,
dold wins,
hultgren wins,
kinzinger wins,
walsh probably wins,
nationally, we now have speaker boehner,
yet, somehow, Bill Brady loses. I don’t get it. I know the real answer is that downstate and the collars don’t matter. Combine that with the ole’ whore beating pawnbroker, I understand how Brady loses. Probably right. However, nine months ago, if you told me my party would win everthig but governor and kilbride retention, I would have taken it. However, tonight, it feels like a confusing result/victory.
- D.P. Gumby - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:27 am:
thank God Kilbride was retained!
- Give Me A Break - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:27 am:
Rich are you going to let your beard grow till Brady concedes?
- CT - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:27 am:
there will be all types of opinions on what lost if for brady but give it up for quinn for never shying away from brady’s stands on abortion and guns in a year where the economy and jobs were the major issues
- rummy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:27 am:
that cnn interactive county map was bad and updated slowly. so I closed it. Sucking up my bandwidth.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:28 am:
Brady said …”By sundown tomorrow I will be …”
- Quinn-bashing fad - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:28 am:
What’s up with Winnebago and Vermilion?
- Buck - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:28 am:
Any pistachios that I can eat?
- top of the state - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:29 am:
Why did Brady call it quits (for the evening) when the vote count was so close at midnight?
- Pale Rider - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:29 am:
I’m with you to the bitter end!
- Amalia - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:29 am:
what’s the best source of results for State Senate and House races?
- Bookworm - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:30 am:
“Ohio, MI and PA were wipeouts due to much worse economic devastation than, say, IL”
Well, if Quinn and MJM are still running the show 2-4 years from now and if IL has caught up with Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, et. al. in the economic/fiscal devastation department… then it might be GOP wipe out time here, just a little later than everywhere else.
- rummy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:30 am:
pat quinn google results feed
//www.google.com/search?q=pat+quinn&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a#sclient=psy&hl=en&safe=off&client=firefox-a&hs=nzB&rls=org.mozilla:en-US%3Aofficial&tbs=rltm:1&q=pat+quinn&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&oq=pat+quinn&gs_rfai=&pbx=1&fp=d6e03609d7fa604d
- Give Me A Break - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:31 am:
“Why did Brady call it quits (for the evening) when the vote count was so close at midnight?”
Because it is past Jason’s bed time.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:31 am:
Also, I would like to throw in Adam Brown’s win as the list of accomplishments for the state gop.
let me take a guess…….. but Brady said …”By sundown tomorrow I will be still a senate softball teamate of Hollywood Ricky”
- Regnad Kcin - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:31 am:
“hisgirlfriday - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:22 am:
So who is going to head to the Billy Goat Tavern tomorrow (at Lower Michigan, not Lower Wacker Mark Kirk) to see if Kirk and Alexi show up to share that bipartisan beer?
That was a halfway decent moment in his speech and the news cut away before he started working with Durbin which is a shame, because it seemed like his first part of the speech was way smug and cocky like a guy who won by 10 or 15 percent and not cut things super close. Pretty offputting. Will be interesting to see if he becomes besties with the Maine ladies or gives the Tea Party folks what they want in terms of obstructionism.”
I agree. When he first started out, I cringed but he did better later on.
Yes, we’re still hangin’ with you Rich.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:31 am:
A snapshot … not even close to official
Kirk
Quinn
Lisa
Jesse
jbt
Rutherford
Speaker Madigan, comfortably
President Cullerton, comfortably
5 new Repub congresscritters
Federal Repub House …
Well … at least it’s not Rod(?) here back in IL(?)
- kimsch - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:32 am:
@Amalia - http://elections.chicagotribune.com/results/general-assembly/ seems to be good.
- dznuts - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:32 am:
Trib has apparently called the Treasurer’s race in favor or Rutherford. Let’s see how long it takes for he and Judy to introduce legislation to combine the offices. Great win by Dan and a strong challenge by Kelly.
- Angry Chicagoan - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:32 am:
I feel like we’re losing the country. The torrent of Citizens’ United corporate money turned this election. It helps to explain why Quinn may yet win and Giannoulias lost — the opposite from expectations, not to mention the opposite of the quality of the candidates on both sides. The country is gradually being bought by corporations, many of them from abroad, who do not have the national interest at heart. And in a sense, we’re witnessing the abdication of America’s superpower status with this trend, with this election as the clearest step yet. We face two years of kicking the can down the road, with probably an intensification of the country’s financial troubles as a consequence. The torrent of corporate propaganda on the media during this election was worthy of Putin’s Russia, and it’s only going to get worse.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:33 am:
Oh no … do we really want to start that …”by sundown tomorrow …” thread again? lol
- Give Me A Break - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:34 am:
Oswego, sure we do. Not like any of us are going anywhere tonight are we?
- hisgirlfriday - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:35 am:
Did Quinn give a speech tonight and I missed it?
Are they afraid to let him talk?
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:35 am:
(Opening another beverage) … “By sundown tomorrow, I will need more beverages …”
- Spectator (Tatler was too involved) - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:35 am:
I’m with you Rich. As I’m listening to Ramblin’ Jack my thoughts go to what a problem the state is in. I like Brady as a friend and that’s why he go my vote. But if he loses, I am not sure tax increases solve our problems. As I tell my wife and anyone else who will listen, I have no confidence thet Quinn will stop spending and use new money to take care of old problems. Add the very sorry state of state workers who are not in the unions that will be pulling the heavy loads and I am not sure what the close Blue v. Red races will mean for our ability to do the bootstrap thing and get us out of where we are.
But as Jack says: “There’s more pretty girls than one.”
- Matt - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:36 am:
Dying of exhaustion from a long day. Work in the morning. Setting up my laptop right next to my bed for when I wake up though!
- (618) Democrat - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:36 am:
Quinn is up by 9484 at 00:34.
The Tribune has a story up that 60% of the remaining precincts are in Chicago or Cook County.
Good news for Quinn!!
- Give Me A Break - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:36 am:
hisgirl: You had to have a double secret decoder ring on to hear Quinn’s speech. You didn’t get one?
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:36 am:
Quinn up by 10,933…
- And I Approved This Message - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:36 am:
Rich, I think one of the main stories of this race will be something that you flagged several weeks ago. It looks like Scott Lee Cohen took votes away from Brady. Which very few people saw coming.
- Amalia - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:36 am:
kimsch….thanks! so half asleep.
up watching Quinn making us wait to hear something!
- kj - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:37 am:
Oswego, Kirk Dillard is actually claiming that he will be Governor by sundown tommorow
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:37 am:
Ya gotta like Chicago holding back a few for Quinn.
- Nearly Normal - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:38 am:
By sundown tomorrow, I may still have the same State Senator.
- Buck - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:38 am:
Who is wearing pants at this time of night? I am in PJs.
- (618) Democrat - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:38 am:
00:38 Quinn up 10,933 with 97% reporting.
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:39 am:
Has SLC conceeded or is he waiting until tomorrow as well?
- Amalia - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:39 am:
jay hoffman goes down? mulroe wins big? Crespo survives? very, very interesting stuff!!!!
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:40 am:
kj - Nice!
Again … “Operation Santa Claus” is in affect:
The “Hamster” has 11k “peanuts” …
It’s for Jason, c’mon be sensitive to him ….
- Piling on - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:40 am:
Illinois’ new slogan: This won’t be decided today, let’s put it off for tomorrow.
it works for budgets, elections …
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:41 am:
Is Hoffman a lawyer? If so, he is now available to join Rob B’s defense team.
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:42 am:
Sorry, Jay, that was mean. It’s late.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:43 am:
kj -
Kirk Dillard said “By sundown tomorrow Brady will drive his Porsche to that Springfiled hotel room to find those shoe boxes full of ballots …”
- just sayin' - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:43 am:
Quinn up 10,933 now
- PPHS - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:43 am:
How close was Thompson’s election in ‘82? I am thinking 7500 votes?
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:44 am:
on a fun note, since the gop does not look to have any say in re-districting and since the gop congress speaker is from ohio now and not Illinois, I can’t wait until the gop primary for congress here in about 12 months……who will have to fight who?
Also, if madigan keeps speaker and if Quinn wins, can I add Costello to the list of winners.
- Regnad Kcin - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:45 am:
“- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:37 am:
Ya gotta like Chicago holding back a few for Quinn.”
10-15 years ago, who would have even envisioned a statement like that - not that Chicago would be holding some votes back, but that they would do that for Pat Quinn, noted reformer, politcal gadfly, etc. etc. etc.
- just sayin' - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:45 am:
Plummer can go to Prom afterall.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:47 am:
Good call, Cuban … we should enjoy the 5 freshmen while we got ‘em
Sheila looks nice … let’s see what the Quinn Crew will say about where the campaign lays …
- Buck - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:47 am:
What is nuttier? Demi L. in rehab or PQ winning?
- western illinois - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:48 am:
SEIU is a big winner I wonder about MJM
I too wondered about Citizens United but I just dont see it . Of 57 lost dem seats 30 were blue dogs Hare was one of just 4 Progressive Caucus members to lose . It was liek Rich said an off year in a terrible economy with Repubs winning the 2000 gerrymanded districts -Thye can do it again in PA OH MI and WI but wait They cant Do thye dare unpack Philly or Clevland? Illinois and New York sure can …CA and FL are going to independant like Iowa and Texas will be Sued by teh DOJ because all their pop gains will be minority
As to out Economy Illinois wil always be teh dominant Midwestern Economy and Richest state. It has the only world Class Metro area Period Minn is nice. The rest are lager Peorias and that is an insult to Peoria
- hisgirlfriday - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:51 am:
Pat’s background and stage sure looks a little different than it did in the primary huh?
- Buck - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:53 am:
Henry Bayer is there now
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:53 am:
MJM is “a” or even “the” big winner … his caucus is safe *see MJM Rules … and Lisa is the 400Lb gorilla leaving scrap piles behind her, leapfroging to Governor …
Quinn! …. Jason doens’t know he is behind … have a heart, it looks like you are going to win, just be merciful.
- hisgirlfriday - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:54 am:
“I can’t wait until the gop primary for congress here in about 12 months……who will have to fight who?”
Schock vs. Kinzinger. May the best Matinee Idol win!
- kj - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:54 am:
PQ- “We honor…..Scott Lee Cohen”
WOW
- steve schnorf - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:55 am:
I wonder how many times JBT has to lead the R ticket (from down-ballot positions, no less) before people give her the respect and thanks to which she is entitled? And for those of you who want to dis her, Bite Me!
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:55 am:
Rich, you are spot on!
With 9k in absentees in Cook … Quinn can CLAIM his victory, but leave the wiggle-room to be gracious …
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:56 am:
Thanks willy,
all these young congressmen, yet 2 or 3 will be killed in a gruesome fight in 15 months. I hope Schook has not spent all his money on fancy new cloths, he may need some add time two marches from now. Hopefully, he will have enough money to overcome the pic. Yeah, I am sure any primary opponent will have fun with that pic of schook in those white pants with president BAM.
going back to redistricting, as a silver lining, it will be neat to see how evil speaker mm will be towards his gop opponents. I always thought he was evil, but he could be worse than I thought. I realize that the speaker and his team have been in a secret location for months coming up with really cool maps to torture us. God ahve mercy on me!
- Logical Thinker - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:56 am:
The irony is that the Dems still have the same problems in this state even with their victories tonight. Quinn is going to have to cut a lot of those union jobs at the state level and MJM and Quinn are going to have to forge some sort of working relationship.
- imeanreally - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:57 am:
You have to think that the GOP will convince Johnson to retire and somehow try to protect Kinzinger with some combination of those districts. They can’t afford to lose Schock or Kinzinger. I know they may not have much say, but they may be willing to lose a seat to keep those 2 as rising stars.
- kj - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:58 am:
are we down 1 or 2 congresscritters?
- Anonymous - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:58 am:
Adams is done but not totaled there is a lot less downstate than it looks
- Fed Up State Employee - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:58 am:
SS….I’m a Democrat and I voted for Judy. She has my respect, and my vote!
- Ivoted4Judy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:59 am:
Anyone know what the status of the military ballots are? Enough to help Brady?
- wordslinger - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:59 am:
Big winner with Quinn.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 12:59 am:
Did anyone else hear Mike Flannery chastise the Brady campaign for “hiding” all summer? (No schedules, no face time, no availablity)
I agree with Jerry’s strategy with that, especially with Plummer, but I guess when Quinn had ZERO campaign all summer, Brady should have made SOME hay …but I agree with Jerry on that 1 …it was a tough call.
- Nearly Normal - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:00 am:
Tim Johnson is sort of a maverick so I doubt he will just go away to keep the party happy.
- polisciguy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:00 am:
Yes….Friends is on WGN. That’s about it for them.
- Rich Miller - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:01 am:
Ivoted4Judy, I don’t think it’ll be enough. We’ll see.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:01 am:
lol … Flannery “If you thought Brady had it in the bag and didn’t vote for him, shame on you”
Priceless!
- Logical Thinker - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:01 am:
I might be crazy, but if I’m Lisa Madigan with the bloodbath over the budget that is going to happen on the state level in the next few years, I think I take the mayor job and be happy to find a niche that I could own for years. 4 years is an eternity in politics.
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:03 am:
If Quinn pulls this off, the House needs to come in session on Jan 2 and pass the tax increase the Senate passed in ‘09. If they don’t do it then, it’s hard to see how it ever passes. Perhaps Quinn cuts a deal with MJM to be a one-termer before he can get his hands on the revenue.
- Ivoted4Judy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:03 am:
Thanks. Bed time. Quinn+Madigan+Cullerton+Kilbride =’s Dem map. 10 more years.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:03 am:
Biggert might be looking to retire … maybe if we did leave, the loss for Repubs would only be “2 Net 2″ for the Dems …
- Did You Expect A Miracle? - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:04 am:
So I’m assuming by the comments that Quinn did make remarks. Where can we see/hear them and Rich are you going to have a link to the full speech in Wednesday’s column?
- kj - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:04 am:
Logical, how sure are you she isn’t on a ballot in a few months?
- steve schnorf - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:05 am:
The Chicago budget problem isn’t going to any easier than the state’s, particularly since so many revenue streams have been sold off and the reserve money spent on operations
- (618) Democrat - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:06 am:
One more crown and water and to bed knowing that Governor Quinn did win.
- IrishPirate(Bluto) - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:06 am:
Does Scott Lee Cohen legally reside in Chicago?
Considering the millions he pumped into the economy with this race perhaps some con$ultant$ can talk him into running for Mayor.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:07 am:
imeanreally,
my dream is a shimkus vs. johnson primary (so, we can get at least get rid of one of them). Let costello take far so. ill.
I got to think that Schilling will be the odd man out. He gets to lose either to manzullo or shook. pick your poison, but regarless, plan to spend some time at home with your 10 kids. As to all other gop congresscritters, I will defer to overlord madigan as to what republicans must enter the thounderdome (two men enter, one man leave).
- kj - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:08 am:
Also, Rich, How much could Bean be helped by late Democratic absentees? Wasn’t a big problem with the coordinated campaign in Lake?
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:08 am:
Schnorf - I thought “bite me” was Rich’s domain.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:08 am:
Rich,
Numbers … what is the R/D split in the ILGA (both chambers) as you are seeing it?
- Amalia - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:08 am:
down to 3 channels in Chicago. Carol Marin is pushing the Lisa for Mayor line. Charles Thomas on ABC7 says quinn has lawyered up. he, Charles, be careful how you use that line with a gov in Ill!
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:10 am:
Just came back from Dold, and then Kirk HQ celebrations where the crowd was wall to wall at each. Jammed at the stage at Kirk HQ, and I had reporters from around the world reading the CAPFAX comments over my shoulder on my phone.
What a night!
- steve schnorf - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:10 am:
Spectator, I am bearded also, and have often passed as Rich at different events.
- Logical Thinker - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:12 am:
Someone is going to have to carry the mantle of “anyone but Rahm” from the machine bosses. I think Lisa is the one to do it and she wins without a run-off. How much flak does Rahm catch for the results of last night?
I’m stunned that Quinn won. Absolutely stunned. Wonder how those Brady transition team meetings went for the last 3 weeks? But his win opens up a lot of shuffling of the deck. In 2014, you have the governor seat AND Durbin’s Senate seat. What if Durbin doesn’t run again? A possibility; not a probability though.
- Retired Non-Union Guy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:12 am:
Yes, but has Rich ever passed as you at budget hearings?
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:12 am:
Taller and grayer, but I kinda get the similarity.
- Rich Miller - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:14 am:
LT, the Madigans are an extremely cautious breed. They don’t run unless they know they win. I don’t see it.
- steve schnorf - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:14 am:
Rich is able to pass as many people; it’s called the “Jameson effect”. Sometimes he and I would switch places at budget briefings.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:14 am:
steve schnorf and spectator,
does the rich miller look help you get girls? If so, I will start my own beard.
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:15 am:
I wouldn’t call it for Quinn just yet, but I think a lot of puppies will be able to breathe a little easier tonight.
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:16 am:
Shhhhh QTS has had an ear to the ground and there has been some rumbling of a ANYONE BUT RAHM dark horse candidate lurking in the shadows who has not even been mentioned before.
I believe we will know by Friday at the latest of they are in for sure. They will be buning up the coconut telegraph between now and then for sure.
- steve schnorf - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:17 am:
cp, it never enters our minds. We only use our powers for good.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:17 am:
Pot,
Oh, that is why all those puppies accross the street were yelping? See, I thought they were watching 101 dalmations, turns out they were looking at the A.P. vote count.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:17 am:
By sundown tomorrow, QTS will know who could be the Dark Horse in the mayor’s race ….
- IL-12 PorkBarrel - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:18 am:
The Plummer/Cohen combo ultimately doomed Brady. Plummer put many people in the same akward position they were in when faced with McCain/Palin in ‘08. Cohen gave people the option to vent against everyone. Both resulted in lost peanuts.
- Amalia - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:19 am:
no more local coverage on chicago tv. we’re off to Lisa Murkowski discussions etc.
anyone know the threshold to kick out a judge on the retention ballot? one got below 60% with some pcts. out.
ugh, national coverage….Rand Paul….we’ve come to take our government back. I’m no fan of Obama, but the tea party rhetoric is maddening.
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:19 am:
I know already, but I can not say
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:19 am:
IL-12,
Both the Brady campaign and I thank you for your assesment of the race … and the counting of the “peanuts” …
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:20 am:
CP - As if! But I see late night commercial possibilities….
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:21 am:
steve schnorf,
Getting girls without having to groom, is a good power.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:22 am:
Just got an update;
Jerry Clarke and Co. emailed me that Jason is tucked in, watching a video to go to sleep, so until that video is over, “Operation Santa Claus” is in effect …
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:23 am:
cp (1:21) Very good, very good indeed.
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:24 am:
==Plummer put many people in the same akward position==
I doubt if many people had a clue about Plummer. Brady was in a awkward position because he just doesn’t align well with the voting population of the state.
- Susie - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:24 am:
it’s been swell, folks, but I’m all in. I am hoping for a nice surprise in the morning–Brady pulled it off, but I suspect that is a pipe dream, huh? good night!
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:26 am:
I got a bad feeling that if I still have some more whiskey in my closet when I go check, that Oswego willy and I will close down this party by crying in our drinks and trying to find someone to blame and looking at all the bad to come.
On a plus side, if I pass out and don’t have time to shave tommorow morning because I wake up late, the women will love me tommorow.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:27 am:
CP -
I can stay for “one more” … but then I have to bail … but I won’t let you be the last …
- Anon - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:28 am:
Head scratcher on the state-wides. Kirk runs (record notwithstanding) as a fiscal conservative and wins. Quinn has openly espoused heavy tax increases and also wins.
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:28 am:
I don’t know Pot. It seems about half the state (and the vast majority of counties) were with Brady.
- Southsider - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:29 am:
Again this is a victory night for Madigan/Cullerton who save the legislature for the Dems. with coattails for Quinn. Also, by tomorrow we will see that white ethnic wards had decent turnouts and went big for Quinn. It will be interesting to see how inner city voter turn out was. Finally, womans organizations had an effective in the last week. Plus Quinn is the luckiest SOB in politics.
- GOPGal - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:29 am:
As of 1:28 AM - Quinn up by 8,515 (99% reporting)
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:30 am:
CP -
Our “downstate” Guv nominee … had fewer peanuts because they didn’t harvest enough … downstate.
That is where I begin the blame …
- Quinn-bashing fad - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:31 am:
HOPE-YAH!!! Don’t forget to do your homework folks….
http://www.progressillinois.com/posts/content/2010/10/28/inside-early-release-scandal
Maybe Senator Brady can go recruit Michael Randle to return to Illinois…
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:32 am:
GOPGal …
et tu GOPGal? … see “Operation Santa Claus”
Yours truly,
The Brady Campaign & Robert Plummer
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:33 am:
Barton …
What are you drinking (slides an empty glass)?
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:34 am:
CP - Brady did as well as he did because Quinn made some major mistakes and ran a weak campaign through early October. (But then, the same could be said in the other direction.)
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:35 am:
BTW, regardless of the outcome, Rich was right. This was the best place to “watch” the returns. Thanks again Rich, Barton and all who watched.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:35 am:
Hey, I found some wild turkey and a can of diet mountain due to combine it with…..let me sipe…yeah, this goes down about as well as a quinn/simon victory.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:40 am:
Specator,
I must agree. this was a great place to watch illinois returns.
Willy, I don’t know if i agree, I still blame cohen and not nominating murphy (i.e, a lack of upstate votes). We are probably both right. I hate this therapy.
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:46 am:
Roughly 25,000 more votes to count
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:47 am:
82 precincts
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:48 am:
—-Roughly 25,000 more votes to count—
Brady: He gone.
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:49 am:
25,700 as a better estimate
- BigMac - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:51 am:
If downstate is done counting, then Quinn’s lead is only going to increase. As Rich said, “that’s the ball game.” - Yes, I am still up after 21 hours.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:51 am:
Since this thread has died and since I am still consuming my wild turkey and diet mt. dew, I will let robert earl keene have the last line on this thread,
“The road goes on forever and party never ends.”
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:52 am:
AP has adjusted the precinctgs reporting, without adjusting the vote totals
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:53 am:
CP - Pour me one …
QTS … did you mean “peanuts”, Jason was asking …
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:54 am:
Hey CP, I presume the Brady folks are lawyering up. You want to put a single libation on the table as a friendly wager?
- Quinn-bashing fad - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:54 am:
Thank you for all the updates + invaluable insights. I don’t always agree, but really appreciate all your hard work and news updates. Great work Capitol Fax Blog through this entire election season!
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:56 am:
willy, let me pour you what I have left….a stewarts root beer and some admiral nelson…good combination, or at least better than quinn and simon.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:57 am:
===…good combination, or at least better than quinn and simon.===
Start pouring …lol
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 1:58 am:
spectator,
whats the bet? I think Brady has lost. If you disagree, I will offer up my traditional sucker bet, single malt scotch.
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:02 am:
It looks like Quinn wins by more than 10K. Why lawyer up?
- Pot calling kettle - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:02 am:
Time 4 bed.
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:03 am:
So here’s a question for the punditocracy here.
If Kirk get’s sworn in as Burris replacement due to the Special Election, then is there a vacancy in the 10th during the lame duck session?
Can Dodl be sworn into the vacancy prior to the election being certified?
If he can be sworn in, does seniority begin to accrue for both of them before their other colleagues are sworn in in January?
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:05 am:
Willy,
I have consumed the drink……and, that’s nasty.
Just like the next 4 years. I had written much more, but it is funny how fear of banishment can keep even a liquored up brady fan from saying more.
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:07 am:
Lawyers can do remarkable things. Make it Irish (Black Bush) and I’m all in. Scotch? I’m in too, but I just won’t enjoy it as much. Rich has to be part of the bet (whoever loses buys for Rich as well) otherwise we won’t know how to find each other.
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:09 am:
8,349 votes now
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:10 am:
CP - Well said on Self-sensorship
QTS - think it stays vacant, there is a 90 day window after the seat is declared vacant for a Special Election and the new Congress will be sworn in before the 90 days. with Dold being a Repub and Quinn a Dem, even if they could appoint, I doubt the climate in the state would make it palletable
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:11 am:
CP - I think I would prefer the drink at this point vs. what could happen in the next 4 years and the next 10 years under a Democratic remap …
Make it a double!
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:11 am:
46.50%
46.20%
- Anonymous Worrier - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:11 am:
How many more precincts to go?
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:12 am:
Spectator,
I am a lawyer. So trust me, I know how overated lawyers are. Thus, I accept your bet. So, Black Bush it is (I have no preference). Of coarse, Rich miller is always included.
- Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:13 am:
BTW - Where is Rich?
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:14 am:
Quinn (D) 1,694,196 46.5%
Brady (R) 1,685,847 46.2%
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:17 am:
Looks to be down to 80 precincts, and I am geusstimating 25, 040
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:18 am:
—CP - I think I would prefer the drink at this point vs. what could happen in the next 4 years and the next 10 years under a Democratic remap —
ut oh…I am out of soda. It looks like we will be drinking straight up. For this special occassion offered at defeat, I have some knob creek available (didnt’ offer earlier b/c I assumed you had been drinking and did not want to offer you good bourbon on a sick and drunk stomach).
So here goes, to the victors (err, mike madigan) go the spoils. May lisa be whatever she wishes.
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:21 am:
— Spectator - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:13 am:
BTW - Where is Rich?—-
Dude, dont you know about beard magic?
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:21 am:
When the Campaign Staff … PAID Staff for Bill Brady wake up tomorrow … and they see they blew it by less than a vote a precinct - after getting through a primary like the cat who swallowed the canary …will they be upset they lost it the same way a Dillard crew lost the primary? Or … Will they be upset they just lost it? Why ask this question?
It seems we never learn from history … from years ago … or months ago … and that is why we get a Dem remap for 10 years …
- Quinn T. Sential - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:23 am:
Why ask this question?
Because Dillard never opted for a re-count; but will Brady take a pass as well?
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:24 am:
80 precincts … 250 votes = 20,000 votes … at a 60/40 split … all for Brady …4,000 plurality … that is what you are chasing … 4k as your “best case senerio”
Thoughs?
- BigMac - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:25 am:
Oswego, judging by Cook Counties returns, I don’t see how Brady can even hope for 60/40. This thing is done.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:26 am:
I am guessing they will ask for the recount … but if Dillard asks for the recount … and loses… and costs both men money they would need in the general, there was no winning senerio …With Quinn … roll the dice.
I am just making the point … we Repubs … even in the sweetest of victory, never learn from the wins.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:27 am:
BigMac … my point exactly!
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:27 am:
willy,
paid staff will be upset just because they lost. for a real conservative who in any other year would be doa upon winning the primary, this opportunity would be golden, a bleeping opportuinty.
Yet, they lost to a strong dem team. Make no mistake, jerry and co. will take this to their grave, their bleeping grave. But, they were always fighting an uphill battle.
why ask this question? i dont’ know, but maybe b/c all of us illinois conservatives are asking why do we do this. That is why you asked. We must face the realization that no complete conservative will ever be chief illinois executive.
- BigMac - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:30 am:
Oswego, got ya.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:30 am:
CP -
You are on it …its hard being a conservative and a pragnatist at the same time too, isn’t it?
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:33 am:
Willy,
Pretty much….we have two options in life…
1) we can just keep drinking; or,
2) buy a cabing in the woods of either tenn. or wyoming and just live off the land through hunting and fishing and just pretend this world doesn’t exist.
however, since I don’t know how to field dress a moose, I will stick to the drinking.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:38 am:
I may be in Kendall County, but I cant go all Unibomber in the one-room cabin!
I guess its alcohol.
The other shoe in all this … the big white elephant in the room for conservatives to answer is …who is going to wear the jacket when its pointed out that the most liberal republican congressman in Illinois runs statewide, the same time one of the most conservative state senators in the Illinois general assembly runs statewide, and the liberal republican does better downstate that the conservative … love to hear that convo!
- cuban pilot - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:46 am:
willy,
it is clear that overlord madigan and vice-minister quinn kicked cohen off the ballot so that he could later steal votes from brady.
Yeah, that is studpid. Funniest thing i keep hearing is that “Kirk rode Brady’s downstate coattails to victory.” Event thought is is somewhat true, still pretty funny.
- Southsider - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:50 am:
Quinn’s staff has all gone home with big smiles on their faces.
It’s simple math, Quinn wins…time for sleep.
- Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Nov 3, 10 @ 2:52 am:
CP -
Wait till the next conservative tries to run statewide again. “You do remember Brady, right?”
Well, that is not my question to answer, but it will be someone’s to answer, probably in 4 years!